16 GUION PLACE, NEW ROCHELLE, NY 10802 · CCN 335337
Composite
28.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
150
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 28.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.13
3.33
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.64
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.87
3.03
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.23
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
135.5
3.13
0.64
0.59
1.90
2.87
3.2%
2025Q3
92
132.4
3.18
0.66
0.57
1.95
2.85
2.3%
2025Q2
91
133.0
3.26
0.69
0.61
1.96
2.80
2.2%
2025Q1
90
140.9
3.11
0.61
0.58
1.92
2.71
1.8%
2024Q4
92
140.7
3.11
0.62
0.60
1.89
2.76
2.4%
2024Q3
92
140.7
3.03
0.66
0.56
1.80
2.62
2.1%
2024Q2
91
141.0
3.10
0.67
0.61
1.83
2.77
2.3%
2024Q1
91
143.3
3.15
0.67
0.67
1.80
2.80
2.6%
2023Q4
92
139.8
3.29
0.62
0.62
2.05
2.97
2.7%
2023Q3
92
142.4
3.30
0.65
0.61
2.04
2.97
2.3%
2023Q2
91
145.4
3.35
0.60
0.66
2.09
3.00
3.4%
2023Q1
90
144.2
3.25
0.54
0.61
2.09
2.95
4.4%
2022Q4
92
144.4
3.13
0.58
0.57
1.99
2.92
5.1%
2022Q3
92
142.7
3.11
0.56
0.54
2.01
2.94
5.2%
2022Q2
91
141.4
3.24
0.61
0.51
2.12
2.91
3.9%
2022Q1
90
145.3
2.96
0.40
0.55
2.01
2.74
10.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
F
2025-08-01
2025-05-06
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-08-01
2025-05-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-07-02
2025-05-06
Health · complaint
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
E
2025-08-01
2023-12-20
Health
F0638
Assure that each resident’s assessment is updated at least once every 3 months.
B
2024-02-12
2023-12-20
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-02-12
2023-12-20
Health
F0660
Plan the resident's discharge to meet the resident's goals and needs.
D
2024-02-12
2023-12-20
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
E
2024-02-12
2023-12-20
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-02-12
2023-12-20
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-02-12
2023-07-06
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-08-15
2019-10-24
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2019-12-23
2019-10-24
Health
F0661
Ensure necessary information is communicated to the resident, and receiving health care provider at the time of a planned discharge.
D
2019-12-23
2019-10-24
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2019-12-23
2019-10-24
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2019-12-23
2019-10-24
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2019-12-23
2019-10-24
Health
F0744
Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with dementia.
D
2019-12-23
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
80
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ABRAMSON, JAY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLATTMAN, BARRY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-09-16
current
pecos_ownership
BLYE, COLLEEN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2016-01-06
current
pecos_ownership
BRAUN, JOEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRESLOW, ELLEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-06-24
current
pecos_ownership
BUTLER, JAMES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
BUTLER, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CERIALE, MELISSA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHIRICO, EMANUEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-10-18
current
pecos_ownership
DOCTOROFF, ALISA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-21
current
pecos_ownership
DONIGER, BRUCE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
EISENBERG, DOUGLAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-06-24
current
pecos_ownership
EMIL, JENNIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GANTCHER, NATHAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, RUTH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GREEN, PATRICIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GUTFREUND, JOHN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-21
current
pecos_ownership
HARRISON, THOMAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HEFFER, JOHN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HENKIND, LEWIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, HELEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KEIDAN, DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KLEIN, ALAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KLEMA, CATHERINE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KLEMA, CATHERINE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-06-24
current
pecos_ownership
KOHN, RANDI
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2013-11-06
current
pecos_ownership
LANE, STACEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LIPTON, JONATHAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MOELIS, RONALD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-21
current
pecos_ownership
NORD, MATTHEW
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-09-16
current
pecos_ownership
OZUAH, PHILLIP
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
OZUAH, PHILLIP
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-11-15
current
pecos_ownership
PANCZNER, CHRISTOPHER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2013-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
ROBINSON, GAYLE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2001-03-13
current
pecos_ownership
ROTENSTREICH, JON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
STERN, EDWIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
STOCKER, MICHAEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SUNA, ALAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
TANNER, DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
1996-03-03
current
pecos_ownership
TISHMAN, DANIEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-05-18
current
pecos_ownership
ALAN KLEIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALAN SUNA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALISA DOCTOROFF
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARRY BLATTMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-09-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE DONIGER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CATHERINE KLEMA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CATHERINE KLEMA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-06-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER PANCZNER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2013-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
COLLEEN BLYE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-01-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL TISHMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-05-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID KEIDAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID TANNER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
1996-03-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOUGLAS EISENBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-06-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EDWIN STERN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELLEN BRESLOW
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-06-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EMANUEL CHIRICO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-10-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GAYLE ROBINSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2001-03-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HELEN JOHNSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES BUTLER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES BUTLER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAY ABRAMSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JENNIE EMIL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOEL BRAUN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN GUTFREUND
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN HEFFER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JON ROTENSTREICH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JONATHAN LIPTON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LEWIS HENKIND
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATTHEW NORD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-09-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELISSA CERIALE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL STOCKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NATHAN GANTCHER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICIA GREEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PHILLIP OZUAH
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2019-11-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PHILLIP OZUAH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RANDI KOHN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2013-11-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RONALD MOELIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RUTH GOTTESMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STACEY LANE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS HARRISON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
28
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 36119
acs median gross
0
$1,443
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36119
fmr
0
$2,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36119
acs median gross
1
$1,767
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36119
fmr
1
$2,655
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36119
acs median gross
2
$2,095
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36119
fmr
2
$2,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36119
acs median gross
3
$2,400
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36119
fmr
3
$3,644
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36119
acs median gross
4
$2,539
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36119
fmr
4
$3,959
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36119
acs median gross
5
$3,074
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36119
acs median gross
$1,951
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36119
acs recent mover gross
$2,334
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 10802
payment standard 110
0
$2,816
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 90
0
$2,304
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
safmr
0
$2,560
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 110
1
$2,959
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 90
1
$2,421
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
safmr
1
$2,690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 110
2
$3,245
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 90
2
$2,655
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
safmr
2
$2,950
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 110
3
$4,059
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 90
3
$3,321
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
safmr
3
$3,690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 110
4
$4,411
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
payment standard 90
4
$3,609
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10802
safmr
4
$4,010
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.