Reads as: riskier than 46.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
MORRISON MANAGEMENT SPECIALISTS INC
13 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MI median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.25
3.52
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.26
0.47
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.13
3.32
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.30
3.61
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
91.7
4.25
1.26
0.31
2.68
4.13
3.3%
2025Q3
92
94.1
4.01
1.12
0.34
2.55
3.91
1.6%
2025Q2
91
92.2
4.25
1.33
0.35
2.57
4.12
1.6%
2025Q1
90
91.4
4.81
1.48
0.56
2.78
4.66
0.0%
2024Q4
92
90.7
4.87
1.31
0.70
2.86
4.72
8.2%
2024Q3
92
87.8
5.06
1.37
0.56
3.13
4.83
9.3%
2024Q2
91
89.3
5.05
1.27
0.64
3.14
4.75
9.9%
2024Q1
91
89.9
5.17
1.36
0.71
3.09
4.87
8.9%
2023Q4
92
92.9
4.89
1.24
0.66
3.00
4.80
7.8%
2023Q3
92
92.1
5.04
1.24
0.76
3.04
4.96
9.6%
2023Q2
91
94.2
4.80
1.28
0.57
2.95
4.67
7.0%
2023Q1
90
98.3
4.86
1.41
0.59
2.87
4.70
7.1%
2022Q4
92
109.9
4.87
1.28
0.73
2.86
4.70
10.0%
2022Q3
92
111.0
5.14
1.29
0.90
2.96
4.86
11.0%
2022Q2
91
113.6
5.23
1.27
0.81
3.15
5.03
18.1%
2022Q1
90
116.5
5.27
1.17
0.72
3.38
4.83
28.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
13
D × 10E × 1F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-01-29
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2026-03-02
2026-01-29
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2026-03-02
2026-01-29
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2026-03-02
2026-01-29
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2026-03-02
2026-01-29
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2026-03-02
2026-01-29
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
D
2026-03-02
2026-01-29
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
D
2026-03-02
2024-12-18
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-01-22
2024-12-18
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-01-22
2024-12-18
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-01-22
2024-12-18
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
F
2025-01-22
2023-10-26
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-11-21
2023-10-26
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2023-11-21
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
36
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
GRAND LODGE OF FREE AND ACCEPTED MASONS OF MICHIGAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
1995-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
CASWELL, BRUCE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
CONCEPT REHAB, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2012-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
CONN, KARI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-09
current
pecos_ownership
CONN, KARI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-04-12
current
pecos_ownership
FLORES, OMAR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOODRICH, MONICA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-03-07
current
pecos_ownership
GROAT, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
GROVES, JOHN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANSON, SCOTT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-08-11
current
pecos_ownership
INSCHO, LARRY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-02-09
current
pecos_ownership
MICHIGAN MASONIC HOME
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
MORRISON MANAGEMENT SPECIALISTS INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2012-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
PAQUET, GARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROBERTS, MIKE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
SARVEPALLI, PRAKASH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-29
current
pecos_ownership
SARVEPALLI, PRAKASH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SAUGET, WILLIAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNIDER, JENNIFER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHITMORE, ROBIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LARRY INSCHO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2024-02-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE CASWELL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY PAQUET
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES GROAT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JENNIFER SNIDER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN GROVES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KARI CONN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KARI CONN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-04-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MIKE ROBERTS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MONICA GOODRICH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-03-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
OMAR FLORES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PRAKASH SARVEPALLI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PRAKASH SARVEPALLI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBIN WHITMORE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SCOTT HANSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-08-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM SAUGET
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-03-31
$1,542,831
—
$1,542,831
—
—
1
—
2024-03-31
$1,467,243
—
$1,467,243
—
—
1
—
2023-03-31
$2,091,548
—
$2,091,548
—
—
1
—
2022-03-31
$2,392,556
—
$2,392,556
—
—
1
—
2021-03-31
$2,148,731
—
$2,148,731
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 26057
acs median gross
0
$754
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26057
fmr
0
$689
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26057
acs median gross
1
$558
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26057
fmr
1
$742
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26057
acs median gross
2
$861
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26057
fmr
2
$973
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26057
acs median gross
3
$948
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26057
fmr
3
$1,304
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26057
acs median gross
4
$1,074
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26057
fmr
4
$1,455
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 26057
acs median gross
5
$1,014
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26057
acs median gross
$834
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 26057
acs recent mover gross
$891
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48801
acs median gross
1
$463
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48801
acs median gross
2
$884
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48801
acs median gross
3
$626
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48801
acs median gross
4
$1,158
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48801
acs median gross
$838
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 48801
acs recent mover gross
$826
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 48801
payment standard 110
0
$825
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 90
0
$675
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
safmr
0
$750
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 110
1
$836
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 90
1
$684
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
safmr
1
$760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 110
2
$1,067
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 90
2
$873
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
safmr
2
$970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 110
3
$1,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 90
3
$1,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
safmr
3
$1,300
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 110
4
$1,606
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
payment standard 90
4
$1,314
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 48801
safmr
4
$1,460
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.