Reads as: riskier than 92.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
9
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+35.6 vs natl
MG PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
31 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+34.8 vs natl
GROVE HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LLC
30 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+34.8 vs natl
LEGACY REAL PROPERTIES LLC
30 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+31.6 vs natl
MILLER COOPER CO LTD
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+31.4 vs natl
GPN FAMILY TRUST U A D 4 28 08
74 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+30.1 vs natl
DOROS GENERATION TRUST U A D 1 3 12
72 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.2 vs natl
LEGACY HEALTHCARE FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
79 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+25.1 vs natl
OAKWAY OPERATIONS LLC
44 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.2 vs natl
SHABAT MENACHEM
85 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.92
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.56
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.84
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.96
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
167.2
2.92
0.56
0.47
1.90
2.84
14.4%
2025Q3
92
171.5
2.95
0.61
0.44
1.89
2.76
17.1%
2025Q2
91
180.3
2.89
0.63
0.43
1.83
2.71
16.7%
2025Q1
90
178.7
2.81
0.65
0.38
1.78
2.68
16.1%
2024Q4
92
170.8
2.90
0.64
0.42
1.84
2.74
17.5%
2024Q3
92
175.3
2.86
0.68
0.39
1.80
2.68
17.2%
2024Q2
91
169.8
2.94
0.67
0.45
1.83
2.79
17.6%
2024Q1
91
173.6
2.92
0.63
0.43
1.85
2.78
22.0%
2023Q4
92
181.6
2.73
0.56
0.44
1.73
2.61
24.2%
2023Q3
92
179.9
2.85
0.56
0.50
1.79
2.69
25.1%
2023Q2
91
175.0
2.87
0.53
0.52
1.81
2.69
25.4%
2023Q1
90
169.7
2.84
0.46
0.58
1.80
2.74
11.4%
2022Q4
92
173.8
2.81
0.50
0.54
1.78
2.67
12.6%
2022Q3
92
177.9
2.94
0.67
0.54
1.73
2.68
13.7%
2022Q2
91
178.5
2.84
0.58
0.57
1.69
2.60
0.7%
2022Q1
90
176.0
2.94
0.62
0.55
1.77
2.82
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-06-23
2025-01-13
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-01-14
2025-01-13
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-01-14
2024-10-25
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2024-10-28
2024-08-08
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2024-08-12
2024-08-08
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2024-08-12
2024-04-26
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-04-27
2024-04-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-04-27
2024-04-26
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-04-27
2023-11-15
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2023-11-22
2023-09-23
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2023-09-27
2023-08-13
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-08-28
2023-08-13
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2023-08-28
2023-08-13
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-08-28
2023-06-30
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2023-07-11
2023-06-30
Health · complaint
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2023-07-11
2023-03-17
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-03-20
2023-03-17
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-03-20
2023-03-17
Health
F0693
Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.
D
2023-03-20
2023-03-17
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-03-20
2023-03-17
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2023-03-20
2023-03-17
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
F
2023-03-20
2023-03-17
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-03-20
2023-03-17
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2023-03-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
39
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DOROS GENERATION TRUST U/A/D 1/3/12
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
43%
2019-12-27
current
pecos_ownership
GPN FAMILY TRUST U/A/D 4/28/08
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
43%
2019-12-27
current
pecos_ownership
OAKWAY OPERATIONS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
15%
2019-12-27
current
pecos_ownership
DOROS GENERATION TRUST U/A/D 1/3/12
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
FLORCZAK, MICHAEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-04
current
pecos_ownership
FORBRIGHT BANK
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
GPN FAMILY TRUST U/A/D 4/28/08
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
GROVE HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES
—
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
GROVE HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
GUREVICH, BORIS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEGACY HEALTHCARE FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-12
current
pecos_ownership
LEGACY HEALTHCARE FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEGACY REAL PROPERTIES
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LEGACY REAL PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
MG PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
MG PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
MILLER COOPER & CO, LTD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHABAT, MENACHEM
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHEELING PROPERTY HOLDINGS
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
WHEELING PROPERTY HOLDINGS
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
WHEELING PROPERTY HOLDINGS. LLC
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
43%
2019-12-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GPN FAM TR UA 04282008
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
43%
2019-12-27
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
BORIS GUREVICH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GROVE HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
GROVE HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
GROVE HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LEGACY REAL PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LEGACY REAL PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LEGACY REAL PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
MENACHEM SHABAT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MG PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
MG PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
MG PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
MICHAEL FLORCZAK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-08-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WHEELING PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
WHEELING PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
WHEELING PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
—
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,009,251
$1,255,745
—
—
$23,666
13
propco
2023-12-31
$2,096,790
$1,349,440
—
—
$21,194
13
propco
2022-12-31
$1,123,133
$386,252
—
—
$13,793
10
propco
2021-12-31
$2,006,714
—
—
—
$30,552
10
propco
2020-12-31
$2,099,068
$56,920
—
—
$491,401
12
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17031
acs median gross
0
$1,230
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
0
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
1
$1,271
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
1
$1,581
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
2
$1,454
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
2
$1,781
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
3
$1,693
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
3
$2,294
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
4
$1,909
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
4
$2,653
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
5
$1,794
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
acs median gross
$1,435
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
acs recent mover gross
$1,752
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60090
acs median gross
0
$1,250
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60090
acs median gross
1
$1,485
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60090
acs median gross
2
$1,705
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60090
acs median gross
3
$2,130
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60090
acs median gross
4
$2,162
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60090
acs median gross
$1,663
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60090
acs recent mover gross
$1,931
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 60090
payment standard 110
0
$1,793
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 90
0
$1,467
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
safmr
0
$1,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 110
1
$1,914
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 90
1
$1,566
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
safmr
1
$1,740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 110
2
$2,156
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 90
2
$1,764
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
safmr
2
$1,960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 110
3
$2,772
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 90
3
$2,268
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
safmr
3
$2,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 110
4
$3,212
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
payment standard 90
4
$2,628
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60090
safmr
4
$2,920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.