101 PRAIRIE MILLS ROAD, GOLDEN, IL 62339 · CCN 146111
Composite
42.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
46
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 42.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
DIXON WILLIAM
6 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.11
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.46
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.05
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.13
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
31.0
3.11
0.46
0.63
2.02
3.05
1.7%
2025Q3
92
31.0
3.18
0.43
0.71
2.04
3.02
0.0%
2025Q2
91
31.9
2.88
0.17
0.99
1.72
2.75
0.0%
2025Q1
90
31.0
2.80
0.24
0.99
1.57
2.95
0.0%
2024Q4
92
35.4
2.21
0.19
0.71
1.31
2.21
0.0%
2024Q3
92
36.6
2.81
0.20
0.78
1.82
2.64
0.0%
2024Q2
91
36.3
2.78
0.40
0.59
1.78
2.74
0.0%
2024Q1
91
35.0
2.88
0.36
0.61
1.90
2.91
0.0%
2023Q4
92
36.3
2.63
0.44
0.55
1.64
2.68
0.0%
2023Q3
92
31.2
3.28
0.43
0.71
2.14
3.28
0.0%
2023Q2
91
28.9
3.58
0.43
0.75
2.40
3.35
0.0%
2023Q1
90
28.7
3.80
0.71
0.57
2.52
3.45
0.0%
2022Q4
92
30.9
3.50
0.62
0.51
2.37
3.30
0.0%
2022Q3
92
28.7
3.47
0.73
0.55
2.20
3.48
0.2%
2022Q2
91
31.1
3.25
0.86
0.63
1.76
2.99
2.8%
2022Q1
90
30.4
3.29
0.63
0.69
1.98
3.19
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-12-20
2024-11-26
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2024-12-21
2024-11-26
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2024-12-21
2024-11-26
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2025-02-24
2024-11-26
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-02-24
2024-11-26
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2025-02-24
2024-11-26
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
G
2024-12-21
2024-11-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-12-21
2024-11-26
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-02-24
2023-09-07
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2023-09-11
2023-09-07
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-09-15
2023-09-07
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2023-09-10
2023-09-07
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
F
2023-09-15
2022-08-18
Health
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2022-09-07
2022-08-18
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2022-09-07
2022-08-18
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2022-09-07
2022-08-18
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2022-09-07
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BRUNS, PAUL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-15
current
pecos_ownership
CASSENS, CYNTHIA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
DIXON, WILLIAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-14
current
pecos_ownership
DIXON, WILLIAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GRONEWOLD, DAVID
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2015-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HEINECKE, CARL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-15
current
pecos_ownership
HIGDON, BRITNEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-09-07
current
pecos_ownership
HIGDON, BRITNEY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-23
current
pecos_ownership
POST, CURTIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2012-02-07
current
pecos_ownership
WAITE, LINDA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2015-10-15
current
pecos_ownership
WATERKOTTE, JANA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
CARL HEINECKE
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-10-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CURTIS POST
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2012-02-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CYNTHIA CASSENS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID GRONEWOLD
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2015-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LINDA WAITE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2015-10-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAUL BRUNS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-10-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM DIXON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRITNEY HIGDON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRITNEY HIGDON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-09-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANA WATERKOTTE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM DIXON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
31
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17001
acs median gross
0
$547
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
0
$734
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
1
$662
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
1
$811
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
2
$911
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
2
$1,064
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
3
$990
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
3
$1,327
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
4
$1,319
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
fmr
4
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17001
acs median gross
5
$950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
acs median gross
$828
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17001
acs recent mover gross
$936
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62339
acs median gross
2
$650
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62339
acs median gross
3
$795
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62339
acs median gross
$760
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 62339
payment standard 110
0
$693
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 90
0
$567
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
safmr
0
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 110
1
$770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 90
1
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
safmr
1
$700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 110
2
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 90
2
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
safmr
2
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 110
3
$1,254
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 90
3
$1,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
safmr
3
$1,140
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 110
4
$1,419
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
payment standard 90
4
$1,161
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62339
safmr
4
$1,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.