Composite
86.4 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| financial risk | 93.7 | 82.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 21.62 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 78.4 | 74.9 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 18.09 | in index |
| staffing risk | 72.7 | 72.7 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 13.98 | in index |
| chow risk | 90.2 | 76.3 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 10.41 | in index |
| billing conduct | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 0.00 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 0.0 | A | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 75.0 | D | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 77.5 | D | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 82.4 | F | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 1.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 4.5 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 74.9 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 72.7 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 76.3 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 56.3 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 65.2 | D | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 82.8 | F | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 74.8 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 74.8 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 72.7 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 72.7 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | -0.40 | |
| Occupancy | 0.57 | +0.38 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 1.00 | -0.15 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 1.00 | +1.24 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | +1.20 | |
| Occupancy | 0.57 | +0.76 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | -0.59 | -0.30 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.12 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | IL median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 2.95 | 3.13 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 2.75 | 2.93 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.02 | 3.23 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 38.0 | 2.95 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 2.03 | 2.75 | 1.5% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 39.5 | 3.13 | 0.49 | 0.36 | 2.29 | 2.88 | 2.2% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 37.2 | 3.52 | 0.63 | 0.37 | 2.51 | 3.33 | 1.1% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 39.2 | 3.33 | 0.64 | 0.43 | 2.26 | 3.24 | 1.1% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 43.5 | 3.53 | 0.66 | 0.41 | 2.47 | 3.25 | 3.6% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 45.6 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.60 | 100.0% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 31.5 | 3.40 | 0.53 | 0.78 | 2.10 | 2.94 | 2.4% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 29.2 | 3.29 | 0.44 | 0.78 | 2.06 | 3.04 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 28.4 | 3.33 | 0.45 | 0.69 | 2.19 | 3.06 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 29.0 | 3.58 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 2.48 | 3.28 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 29.0 | 3.55 | 0.39 | 0.79 | 2.37 | 3.16 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 29.9 | 3.38 | 0.32 | 0.80 | 2.26 | 3.15 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 33.9 | 2.82 | 0.23 | 0.54 | 2.04 | 2.75 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 34.2 | 2.94 | 0.33 | 0.55 | 2.06 | 2.63 | 1.0% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 36.7 | 2.60 | 0.18 | 0.60 | 1.82 | 2.28 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 34.3 | 2.48 | 0.17 | 0.58 | 1.73 | 2.21 | 0.0% |
| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | Fine | $17,512 | CMS provider data |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | Health · complaint | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | E | 2025-11-21 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0641 | Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0791 | Provide or obtain dental services for each resident. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0803 | Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident. | E | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0883 | Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations. | D | 2025-05-07 |
| 2025-04-24 | Health | F0912 | Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms. | B | 2025-05-07 |
| 2024-12-05 | Health · complaint | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | E | 2024-12-13 |
| 2024-08-16 | Health · complaint | F0567 | Honor the resident's right to manage his or her financial affairs. | F | 2024-06-10 |
| 2024-08-16 | Health · complaint | F0568 | Properly hold, secure, and manage each resident's personal money which is deposited with the nursing home. | F | 2024-06-10 |
| 2024-08-16 | Health · complaint | F0602 | Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money. | L | 2024-06-10 |
| 2024-08-16 | Health · complaint | F0606 | Not hire anyone with a finding of abuse, neglect, exploitation, or theft. | F | 2024-06-10 |
| 2024-08-16 | Health · complaint | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | F | 2024-06-10 |
| 2024-08-16 | Health · complaint | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | F | 2024-06-10 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0582 | Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0645 | PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0693 | Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0727 | Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis. | F | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0803 | Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0808 | Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law. | D | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-04-11 | Health | F0912 | Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms. | B | 2024-05-08 |
| 2024-02-23 | Health · complaint | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | G | 2024-03-15 |
| 2023-12-13 | Health · complaint | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | D | 2023-12-20 |
| 2023-12-13 | Health · complaint | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | D | 2023-12-20 |
| 2023-09-19 | Health · complaint | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | F | 2023-09-29 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0578 | Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive. | D | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | E | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0623 | Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights. | D | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0625 | Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave. | D | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | E | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0727 | Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis. | F | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | D | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0912 | Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms. | B | 2023-06-09 |
| 2023-05-26 | Health | F0919 | Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area. | D | 2023-06-09 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PETERSEN, MARK | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2007-08-24 | current | pecos_ownership |
| BENTON LAND | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | — | 2023-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| SCHARLEMANN, MARY | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2017-09-05 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MARK PETERSEN | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2007-08-24 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| BENTON LAND | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | — | 2020-01-01 | ended 2020-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| BENTON LAND | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | — | 2021-01-01 | ended 2021-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| BENTON LAND | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | — | 2022-01-01 | ended 2022-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| MARY SCHARLEMANN | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2017-09-05 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-01 | RIVAYA CARE OF DES PLAINES | — | — | — | 231 | RIVAYA CARE OF DES PLAINES LLC |
| 2025-04-10 | THE PEARL OF DOWNERS GROVE | — | — | — | 145 | PEARL OF DOWNERS GROVE LLC |
| 2025-04-01 | La Bella of Mascoutah | — | — | — | 76 | MASCOUTAH REHAB AND NURSING LLC |
| 2025-04-01 | MONMOUTH REHAB AND NURSING | — | — | — | 58 | MONMOUTH REHAB AND NURSING LLC |
| 2025-03-05 | GOLDWATER CARE CLINTON | — | — | — | 134 | GOLDWATER CARE CLINTON LLC |
| 2025-03-01 | THE HAVEN OF BRIDGEPORT | — | — | — | 99 | HAVEN OF BRIDGEPORT LLC |
| 2025-03-01 | CASS COUNTY SENIOR LIVING & REHABILITATION LLC | — | — | — | 71 | CASS COUNTY SENIOR LIVING & REHABILITATION LLC |
| 2025-03-01 | Avantara Joliet | — | — | — | 154 | PRIME HEALTHCARE SENIOR LIVING, LLC |
| 2025-03-01 | THE HAVEN OF ST. ELMO | — | — | — | 60 | HAVEN OF ST. ELMO LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | Arc at Sangamon Valley | — | — | — | 171 | ARC AT SANGAMON VALLEY LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | ARC AT HICKORY POINT | — | — | — | 64 | ARC AT HICKORY POINT LLC |
| 2024-12-17 | WYNSCAPE HEALTH & REHAB | — | — | — | 209 | NELP-WYNDEMERE OPERATOR LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 17055 | acs median gross | 0 | $364 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 17055 | fmr | 0 | $632 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 17055 | acs median gross | 1 | $509 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 17055 | fmr | 1 | $698 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 17055 | acs median gross | 2 | $814 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 17055 | fmr | 2 | $916 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 17055 | acs median gross | 3 | $955 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 17055 | fmr | 3 | $1,181 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 17055 | acs median gross | 4 | $948 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 17055 | fmr | 4 | $1,329 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 17055 | acs median gross | 5 | $869 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 17055 | acs median gross | $803 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 17055 | acs recent mover gross | $945 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 62812 | acs median gross | 0 | $519 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 62812 | acs median gross | 1 | $650 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 62812 | acs median gross | 2 | $816 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 62812 | acs median gross | 3 | $940 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 62812 | acs median gross | $843 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 62812 | acs recent mover gross | $986 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $693 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $567 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | safmr | 0 | $630 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $770 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $630 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | safmr | 1 | $700 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,012 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $828 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | safmr | 2 | $920 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $1,309 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,071 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | safmr | 3 | $1,190 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $1,463 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,197 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 62812 | safmr | 4 | $1,330 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |