Reads as: riskier than 11.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
SD median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.81
2.96
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.45
0.52
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.22
2.75
3.11
—
Weekday total
5.04
3.06
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
49.8
4.81
0.45
0.75
3.61
4.22
56.7%
2025Q3
92
49.1
4.74
0.37
0.86
3.50
4.22
55.4%
2025Q2
91
49.1
4.68
0.42
0.85
3.41
4.08
52.9%
2025Q1
90
49.7
4.66
0.41
0.73
3.52
4.08
52.6%
2024Q4
92
51.7
4.26
0.42
0.66
3.18
3.72
50.2%
2024Q3
92
50.5
4.19
0.35
0.71
3.13
3.68
45.2%
2024Q2
91
52.5
4.04
0.36
0.74
2.94
3.41
42.1%
2024Q1
91
50.0
4.23
0.29
0.82
3.11
3.63
44.2%
2023Q4
92
50.6
4.38
0.32
0.77
3.29
3.83
46.6%
2023Q3
92
51.4
4.25
0.52
0.55
3.19
3.77
55.1%
2023Q2
91
51.4
4.33
0.32
0.87
3.14
3.67
59.3%
2023Q1
90
52.6
4.10
0.37
0.72
3.02
3.45
60.0%
2022Q4
92
54.4
4.04
0.39
0.70
2.94
3.33
59.2%
2022Q3
92
51.2
4.51
0.47
0.78
3.27
3.66
58.7%
2022Q2
91
54.6
3.96
0.43
0.68
2.85
3.19
52.3%
2022Q1
90
53.1
3.94
0.51
0.59
2.84
3.18
39.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
E
2026-02-04
2025-12-31
Health · complaint
F0678
Provide basic life support, including CPR, prior to the arrival of emergency medical personnel , subject to physician orders and the resident’s advance directives.
D
2026-02-04
2025-12-31
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
F
2026-01-08
2025-12-31
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-01-16
2025-12-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-02-04
2025-06-18
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-07-16
2025-06-18
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-07-16
2025-06-18
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-07-22
2025-02-12
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2025-03-13
2025-02-12
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-03-13
2024-09-25
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
H
2024-10-23
2024-09-25
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
H
2024-10-23
2024-08-08
Health · complaint
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
D
2024-09-22
2024-08-08
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
E
2024-09-06
2023-07-13
Health
F0638
Assure that each resident’s assessment is updated at least once every 3 months.
D
2023-08-25
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
19
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DAVIS, BRITTANI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
GAERTNER, RACHAEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNKE, LARRY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-04-09
current
pecos_ownership
KOLBECK, AUDREY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1991-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
LEARING, SUSAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
NIELSEN, TAMIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SACRED HEART HEALTH SERVICES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-08-28
current
pecos_ownership
SACRED HEART HEALTH SERVICES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1994-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
STOCKLAND, ROBIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-04
current
pecos_ownership
STOCKLAND, ROBIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-11-30
current
pecos_ownership
SUNSET MANOR INC.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1994-06-15
current
pecos_ownership
ROBIN STOCKLAND
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
100%
2017-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AUDREY KOLBECK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
1991-02-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRITTANI DAVIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LARRY JOHNKE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-04-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RACHAEL GAERTNER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBIN STOCKLAND
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUSAN LEARING
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAMIE NIELSEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 46027
acs median gross
0
$437
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46027
fmr
0
$641
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46027
acs median gross
1
$705
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46027
fmr
1
$708
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46027
acs median gross
2
$823
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46027
fmr
2
$929
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46027
acs median gross
3
$1,040
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46027
fmr
3
$1,292
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46027
acs median gross
4
$1,225
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46027
fmr
4
$1,558
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46027
acs median gross
$770
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46027
acs recent mover gross
$776
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57037
acs median gross
1
$563
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57037
acs median gross
2
$694
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57037
acs median gross
3
$490
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57037
acs median gross
4
$866
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57037
acs median gross
$809
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57037
acs recent mover gross
$493
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 57037
payment standard 110
0
$748
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 90
0
$612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
safmr
0
$680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 110
1
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 90
1
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
safmr
1
$800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 110
2
$1,056
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 90
2
$864
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
safmr
2
$960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 110
3
$1,463
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 90
3
$1,197
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
safmr
3
$1,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 110
4
$1,738
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
payment standard 90
4
$1,422
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57037
safmr
4
$1,580
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.