Reads as: riskier than 79.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
anomaly
Federal penalty spike
3.6x prior
this facility
2026-07-29
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
HERZKA YISROEL
70 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
67% fined
PACIFIC NORTHWEST SNF OPERATIONS HOLDINGS SD LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
67% fined
SOUTH DAKOTA SNF CONSULTING LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
LOWE LEONOR
6 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
SD median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.75
2.96
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.51
0.52
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.64
2.75
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.79
3.06
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
53.3
2.75
0.51
0.33
1.91
2.64
21.8%
2025Q3
92
52.0
2.89
0.49
0.33
2.07
2.80
10.4%
2025Q2
91
55.5
2.53
0.54
0.20
1.79
2.45
7.5%
2025Q1
90
57.6
2.70
0.59
0.21
1.90
2.60
25.3%
2024Q4
92
56.4
2.76
0.56
0.29
1.92
2.68
30.2%
2024Q3
92
54.6
3.06
0.62
0.23
2.21
2.88
30.6%
2024Q2
91
54.5
3.04
0.64
0.22
2.18
2.87
27.1%
2024Q1
91
51.6
3.06
0.57
0.34
2.15
2.85
27.8%
2023Q4
92
51.3
3.02
0.56
0.34
2.12
2.79
25.0%
2023Q3
92
53.8
2.84
0.56
0.30
1.98
2.70
27.9%
2023Q2
91
50.0
2.95
0.59
0.35
2.00
2.74
34.6%
2023Q1
90
49.7
2.86
0.62
0.31
1.94
2.70
30.4%
2022Q4
92
44.7
3.11
0.75
0.28
2.08
2.82
27.7%
2022Q3
92
40.0
3.12
0.80
0.13
2.18
2.84
26.4%
2022Q2
91
37.4
3.23
0.98
0.14
2.11
3.02
34.4%
2022Q1
90
38.2
2.99
0.74
0.32
1.93
2.88
47.6%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2026-04-15
2026-03-25
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2026-03-26
2026-01-28
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
E
2026-02-14
2026-01-28
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-28
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2026-02-14
2025-11-18
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2025-11-25
2025-11-18
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-10-09
2025-09-25
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2025-09-30
2025-09-25
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2025-09-30
2025-09-25
Health · complaint
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
G
2025-09-30
2025-09-25
Health · complaint
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
G
2025-09-30
2025-02-27
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2025-03-27
2025-02-27
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-03-27
2025-02-27
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2025-03-27
2025-02-27
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2025-03-27
2025-02-27
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
G
2025-03-27
2025-02-27
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-04-14
2025-02-27
Health
F0865
Have a plan that describes the process for conducting QAPI and QAA activities.
D
2025-03-27
2025-02-27
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-04-14
2025-02-27
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
D
2025-03-27
2025-01-08
Health · complaint
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2025-01-25
2025-01-08
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
J
2025-01-25
2025-01-08
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
J
2025-01-25
2025-01-08
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
J
2025-01-25
2025-01-08
Health · complaint
F0835
Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently.
E
2025-01-25
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
G
2024-11-26
2024-02-15
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-03-15
2024-02-15
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-03-15
2023-09-06
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-10-15
2023-09-06
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-10-15
2023-09-06
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2023-10-15
2023-02-16
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2023-03-16
2023-02-16
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-03-16
2023-02-16
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2023-03-16
2023-02-16
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-03-16
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 46101
fmr
0
$641
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46101
acs median gross
1
$626
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46101
fmr
1
$708
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46101
acs median gross
2
$758
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46101
fmr
2
$929
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46101
acs median gross
3
$636
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46101
fmr
3
$1,243
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46101
acs median gross
4
$1,102
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46101
fmr
4
$1,438
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 46101
acs median gross
$758
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 46101
acs recent mover gross
$773
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57028
acs median gross
1
$632
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57028
acs median gross
2
$669
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57028
acs median gross
3
$632
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57028
acs median gross
4
$1,000
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57028
acs median gross
$681
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 57028
acs recent mover gross
$768
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 57028
payment standard 110
0
$715
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 90
0
$585
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
safmr
0
$650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 110
1
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 90
1
$648
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
safmr
1
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 110
2
$1,034
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 90
2
$846
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
safmr
2
$940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 110
3
$1,386
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 90
3
$1,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
safmr
3
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 110
4
$1,606
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
payment standard 90
4
$1,314
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 57028
safmr
4
$1,460
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.