165 01 CHAPIN PARKWAY, JAMAICA, NY 11432 · CCN 335631
Composite
19.2 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
220
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 19.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.29
3.33
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.19
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.06
3.03
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.38
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
183.8
3.29
1.19
0.13
1.97
3.06
44.5%
2025Q3
92
136.3
3.46
0.75
0.59
2.12
3.10
26.2%
2025Q2
91
121.3
3.63
0.55
0.77
2.31
3.40
26.6%
2025Q1
90
125.2
3.46
0.45
0.76
2.24
3.24
27.9%
2024Q4
92
143.7
3.33
0.34
0.83
2.16
3.07
30.5%
2024Q3
92
148.3
3.22
0.38
0.85
1.99
2.89
35.8%
2024Q2
91
151.4
3.26
0.40
0.80
2.05
2.88
30.5%
2024Q1
91
149.7
3.08
0.39
0.81
1.89
2.74
28.5%
2023Q4
92
140.7
3.38
0.42
0.82
2.14
3.07
32.4%
2023Q3
92
142.8
3.33
0.41
0.80
2.13
2.94
35.0%
2023Q2
91
141.9
3.51
0.45
0.90
2.16
3.05
38.2%
2023Q1
90
137.0
3.47
0.46
0.83
2.18
2.99
31.9%
2022Q4
92
136.7
3.29
0.48
0.67
2.14
2.96
27.4%
2022Q3
92
141.1
3.18
0.50
0.64
2.05
2.81
26.2%
2022Q2
91
136.7
3.20
0.45
0.63
2.12
2.92
15.8%
2022Q1
90
128.2
3.06
0.26
0.65
2.14
2.85
21.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
10
C × 1D × 9
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-09-10
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-10-31
2024-09-10
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-08-15
2024-09-10
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2024-10-31
2022-07-05
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2022-07-31
2019-10-01
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2019-11-30
2019-10-01
Health
F0711
Ensure the resident's doctor reviews the resident's care, writes, signs and dates progress notes and orders, at each required visit.
D
2019-11-30
2019-10-01
Health
F0745
Provide medically-related social services to help each resident achieve the highest possible quality of life.
D
2019-11-30
2019-10-01
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2019-11-30
2019-10-01
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2019-11-30
2019-10-01
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2019-11-30
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
30
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BELLING, VIRGINIA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-06-23
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, SARAH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2009-06-25
current
pecos_ownership
CUCCHI, DIANE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-06-23
current
pecos_ownership
CURLEY, ROSE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DERBY, CAROL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2009-06-25
current
pecos_ownership
DOMINQUEZ, LAURA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2010-06-24
current
pecos_ownership
DONNELLY, KAREN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2010-06-24
current
pecos_ownership
JANAS, NODAR
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
JANAS, NODAR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-27
current
pecos_ownership
MCDONALD, MAUREEN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCMANAMAN, JENNIFER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
O'HARA, WILLIAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
1993-08-25
current
pecos_ownership
O'LEARY, VIRGINIA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TEAHAN, GRADITA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-06-23
current
pecos_ownership
UNGER, JANET
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2009-06-25
current
pecos_ownership
CAROL DERBY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2009-06-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANE CUCCHI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-06-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GRADITA TEAHAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-06-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANET UNGER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2009-06-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JENNIFER MCMANAMAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAREN DONNELLY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2010-06-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA DOMINQUEZ
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2010-06-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MAUREEN MCDONALD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NODAR JANAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NODAR JANAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROSE CURLEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SARAH BROWN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2009-06-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VIRGINIA BELLING
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-06-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VIRGINIA O'LEARY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM O'HARA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1993-08-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 36081
acs median gross
0
$1,597
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36081
fmr
0
$2,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36081
acs median gross
1
$1,792
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36081
fmr
1
$2,655
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36081
acs median gross
2
$2,033
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36081
fmr
2
$2,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36081
acs median gross
3
$2,384
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36081
fmr
3
$3,644
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36081
acs median gross
4
$2,637
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36081
fmr
4
$3,959
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36081
acs median gross
5
$2,292
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36081
acs median gross
$1,956
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36081
acs recent mover gross
$2,285
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs median gross
0
$1,507
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs median gross
1
$1,776
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs median gross
2
$2,086
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs median gross
3
$2,484
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs median gross
5
$2,363
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs median gross
$1,872
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 11432
acs recent mover gross
$2,132
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 11432
payment standard 110
0
$3,025
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 90
0
$2,475
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
safmr
0
$2,750
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 110
1
$3,179
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 90
1
$2,601
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
safmr
1
$2,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 110
2
$3,487
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 90
2
$2,853
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
safmr
2
$3,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 110
3
$4,367
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 90
3
$3,573
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
safmr
3
$3,970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 110
4
$4,741
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
payment standard 90
4
$3,879
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 11432
safmr
4
$4,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.