1072 HAVEMEYER AVENUE, BRONX, NY 10462 · CCN 335557
Composite
27.4 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
213
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 27.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.91
3.33
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.34
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.61
3.03
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.03
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
202.0
2.91
0.34
0.79
1.78
2.61
32.5%
2025Q3
92
203.7
2.89
0.24
0.78
1.87
2.59
28.5%
2025Q2
91
204.8
2.85
0.24
0.79
1.81
2.57
30.2%
2025Q1
90
203.5
2.89
0.17
0.85
1.87
2.66
34.9%
2024Q4
92
202.8
2.91
0.21
0.85
1.84
2.67
37.1%
2024Q3
92
207.9
2.89
0.21
0.84
1.84
2.62
34.6%
2024Q2
91
206.2
2.87
0.20
0.83
1.83
2.59
32.7%
2024Q1
91
207.0
2.92
0.28
0.85
1.80
2.61
27.9%
2023Q4
92
203.2
3.00
0.31
0.81
1.87
2.67
27.5%
2023Q3
92
201.0
2.86
0.32
0.74
1.80
2.53
25.7%
2023Q2
91
206.5
2.61
0.30
0.72
1.59
2.32
20.6%
2023Q1
90
207.6
2.50
0.27
0.65
1.58
2.20
19.4%
2022Q4
92
201.5
2.56
0.19
0.69
1.68
2.26
21.7%
2022Q3
92
202.5
2.57
0.17
0.73
1.67
2.19
19.9%
2022Q2
91
203.0
2.65
0.17
0.72
1.76
2.38
26.3%
2022Q1
90
205.7
2.60
0.15
0.74
1.72
2.32
25.4%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
22
D × 17E × 5
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-01-23
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2026-03-23
2025-09-02
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
E
2025-11-02
2023-12-13
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
E
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2024-02-08
2023-12-13
Health
F0770
Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents.
D
2024-02-08
2023-09-15
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2023-10-27
2021-09-22
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2021-11-08
2021-09-22
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2021-11-08
2021-09-22
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2021-11-08
2021-09-22
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2021-11-08
2021-09-22
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2021-11-08
2019-03-28
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2019-05-07
2019-03-28
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2019-05-07
2019-03-28
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2019-05-07
2019-03-28
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
E
2019-05-07
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
CAPALDO, CONNIE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ELSON, MARTIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2004-06-06
current
pecos_ownership
FELBERG, MICHAEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2009-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
FELBERG, MICHAEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1999-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
GELB, KENNETH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOLD, JEFFREY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2003-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
KOREFF, ALAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-12-14
current
pecos_ownership
MANIGAULTE, FEDRA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-18
current
pecos_ownership
O'CONNELL, MARY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-12-14
current
pecos_ownership
ROTEM, ERAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROTHMAN, GARY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALAN KOREFF
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-12-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CONNIE CAPALDO
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERAN ROTEM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FEDRA MANIGAULTE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY ROTHMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY GOLD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2003-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KENNETH GELB
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARTIN ELSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2004-06-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARY O'CONNELL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-12-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL FELBERG
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1999-12-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL FELBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2009-12-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 36005
acs median gross
0
$1,191
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
0
$2,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
1
$1,380
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
1
$2,655
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
2
$1,525
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
2
$2,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
3
$1,733
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
3
$3,644
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
4
$1,771
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
4
$3,959
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
5
$2,128
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
acs median gross
$1,458
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
acs recent mover gross
$1,701
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs median gross
0
$1,397
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs median gross
1
$1,640
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs median gross
2
$1,865
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs median gross
3
$2,295
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs median gross
4
$2,191
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs median gross
$1,746
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10462
acs recent mover gross
$2,107
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 10462
payment standard 110
0
$2,728
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 90
0
$2,232
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
safmr
0
$2,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 110
1
$2,860
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 90
1
$2,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
safmr
1
$2,600
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 110
2
$3,135
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 90
2
$2,565
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
safmr
2
$2,850
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 110
3
$3,927
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 90
3
$3,213
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
safmr
3
$3,570
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 110
4
$4,268
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
payment standard 90
4
$3,492
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10462
safmr
4
$3,880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.