Reads as: riskier than 18.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
15
2025Q3 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.49
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.47
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.25
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.59
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q3
92
42.8
2.49
0.47
0.60
1.42
2.25
0.0%
2025Q2
91
41.2
2.49
0.37
0.57
1.54
2.32
0.0%
2025Q1
90
42.6
2.49
0.46
0.49
1.54
2.38
0.0%
2024Q4
92
37.5
2.43
0.42
0.47
1.54
2.44
0.0%
2024Q3
92
30.0
3.02
0.49
0.59
1.94
3.00
0.0%
2024Q2
91
31.3
2.83
0.42
0.53
1.88
2.73
0.0%
2024Q1
91
27.3
2.96
0.52
0.67
1.77
2.86
0.0%
2023Q4
92
30.2
2.56
0.45
0.55
1.57
2.52
0.0%
2023Q3
92
29.4
2.84
0.37
0.58
1.89
2.67
0.0%
2023Q2
91
30.6
2.95
0.38
0.72
1.85
2.89
0.0%
2023Q1
90
33.3
2.66
0.37
0.70
1.59
2.62
0.0%
2022Q4
92
34.5
2.65
0.36
0.60
1.69
2.62
0.0%
2022Q3
92
36.3
2.45
0.33
0.51
1.62
2.46
0.0%
2022Q2
91
35.0
2.58
0.35
0.59
1.64
2.48
0.0%
2022Q1
90
34.3
2.24
0.35
0.53
1.36
2.16
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
6
D × 4F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-06-13
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-06-20
2025-06-13
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
F
2025-06-20
2023-08-17
Health
F0563
Honor the resident's right to receive visitors of his or her choosing, at the time of his or her choosing.
F
2023-08-22
2023-08-17
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2023-08-22
2023-08-17
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2023-08-22
2023-08-17
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2023-08-22
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
3
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
STOUT, SCOTT
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
WLC MANAGEMENT FIRM LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCOTT STOUT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
100%
2023-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
2
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$116,002
—
—
$25,659
$8,767
2
—
2023-12-31
$18,673
—
—
—
$1,795
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
29
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17087
fmr
0
$632
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17087
acs median gross
1
$389
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17087
fmr
1
$735
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17087
acs median gross
2
$866
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17087
fmr
2
$916
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17087
acs median gross
3
$813
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17087
fmr
3
$1,159
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17087
fmr
4
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17087
acs median gross
$781
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17087
acs recent mover gross
$946
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62995
acs median gross
1
$386
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62995
acs median gross
2
$756
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62995
acs median gross
3
$581
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 62995
acs median gross
$667
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 62995
payment standard 110
0
$693
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 90
0
$567
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
safmr
0
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 110
1
$814
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 90
1
$666
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
safmr
1
$740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 110
2
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 90
2
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
safmr
2
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 110
3
$1,276
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 90
3
$1,044
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
safmr
3
$1,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 110
4
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
payment standard 90
4
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 62995
safmr
4
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.