761 OLD BARN LANE, ARLINGTON HTS, IL 60005 · CCN 146007 · chain PRESBYTERIAN HOMES
Composite
6.4 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
92
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 6.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
FUNCTIONAL PATHWAYS OF TENNESSEE LLC
22 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
14
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.27
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.26
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.27
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.27
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
62.9
4.27
1.26
0.10
2.91
4.27
0.0%
2025Q3
92
59.3
4.75
1.32
0.11
3.33
4.61
0.0%
2025Q2
91
61.6
4.48
1.32
0.09
3.07
4.41
0.0%
2025Q1
90
62.6
4.43
1.29
0.11
3.03
4.34
0.0%
2024Q4
92
60.4
4.49
1.41
0.10
2.99
4.44
0.0%
2024Q3
92
57.8
4.59
1.41
0.11
3.07
4.47
0.0%
2024Q2
91
64.2
4.42
1.31
0.10
3.01
4.49
0.0%
2023Q4
92
63.0
4.29
1.30
0.10
2.88
4.25
0.0%
2023Q2
91
49.5
4.59
1.45
0.08
3.05
4.52
1.6%
2023Q1
90
73.8
2.98
0.93
0.05
1.99
2.95
0.2%
2022Q4
92
68.3
3.19
1.03
0.04
2.13
3.17
0.0%
2022Q3
92
59.5
3.60
1.20
0.02
2.37
3.50
0.0%
2022Q2
91
53.5
4.13
1.33
0.11
2.69
3.95
0.0%
2022Q1
90
50.6
4.18
1.31
0.13
2.75
4.15
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
10
D × 7E × 1F × 1G × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-01-29
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-02-17
2024-04-17
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-05-15
2024-04-17
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2024-05-15
2024-04-17
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-05-15
2024-04-17
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-05-15
2023-03-16
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-04-12
2023-03-16
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-04-12
2022-01-06
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2022-02-04
2022-01-06
Health
F0809
Ensure meals and snacks are served at times in accordance with resident’s needs, preferences, and requests. Suitable and nourishing alternative meals and snacks must be provided for residents who want to eat at non-traditional times or outside of scheduled meal times.
D
2022-02-04
2022-01-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2022-02-04
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
55
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
PRESBYTERIAN HOMES
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
ABI-ANTOUN, NADIM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRAULT, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-24
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, SAMANTHA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-06-27
current
pecos_ownership
DEARBORN, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
DENISON, CHARLES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
FUNCTIONAL PATHWAYS OF TENNESSEE LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
FUNCTIONAL PATHWAYS OF TENNESSEE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
HAVRILKA, MARK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
HITE, ELINOR
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2017-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
KANEV, LEO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
current
pecos_ownership
KASPAR, JONATHAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2017-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
KASPAR, JONATHAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
KELLY, VINCENT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
LINCOLN, MICHAEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MADLAND, TRACY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-10-18
current
pecos_ownership
MALIN, ALEX
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-10-12
current
pecos_ownership
MARX, DENNIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCAFEE, THOMAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, CHERYL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-05-04
current
pecos_ownership
MOLLMAN, ERIC
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-24
current
pecos_ownership
OBERREIDER, MARSHA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-08-22
current
pecos_ownership
PATEL, ALPANA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
PATEL, NIKHI
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
PRATT, PATRICIA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-07-24
current
pecos_ownership
PRESBYTERIAN HOMES MANAGER LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRESBYTERIAN HOMES MANAGER LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-07
current
pecos_ownership
REJNIAK, EWA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-04-24
current
pecos_ownership
REYNOLDS, SAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SEYMOUR, JULIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SOCIAL WORK CONSULTATION GROUP, INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
current
pecos_ownership
STRAUSBAUGH, JESSICA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
VANDERMARK, LISA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2016-05-02
current
pecos_ownership
WETZEL, MARK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
THE MOORINGS OF ARLINGTON HEIGHTS, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES DENISON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DONNERSBERGER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DENNIE MARX
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIC MOLLMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES BRAULT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JONATHAN KASPAR
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2017-12-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JULIE SEYMOUR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA VANDERMARK
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2016-05-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK HAVRILKA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK TOLEDO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK WETZEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL KIRBY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL LINCOLN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MONICA HEENAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NADIM ABI-ANTOUN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAULA NOBLE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SOPHIE TALL
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-08-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS MCAFEE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TODD SWORTZEL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VINCENT KELLY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-03-31
$885,758
—
$836,831
—
—
1
—
2024-03-31
$960,493
—
$902,279
—
—
1
—
2023-03-31
$864,075
—
$864,075
—
—
1
—
2022-03-31
$822,264
—
$822,264
—
—
1
—
2021-03-31
$699,703
—
$699,703
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17031
acs median gross
0
$1,230
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
0
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
1
$1,271
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
1
$1,581
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
2
$1,454
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
2
$1,781
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
3
$1,693
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
3
$2,294
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
4
$1,909
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
fmr
4
$2,653
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17031
acs median gross
5
$1,794
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
acs median gross
$1,435
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17031
acs recent mover gross
$1,752
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60005
acs median gross
0
$1,537
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60005
acs median gross
1
$1,451
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60005
acs median gross
2
$1,825
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60005
acs median gross
3
$1,891
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60005
acs median gross
4
$3,011
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60005
acs median gross
$1,650
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60005
acs recent mover gross
$2,036
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 60005
payment standard 110
0
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 90
0
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
safmr
0
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 110
1
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 90
1
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
safmr
1
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 110
2
$2,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 90
2
$1,746
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
safmr
2
$1,940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 110
3
$2,750
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 90
3
$2,250
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
safmr
3
$2,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 110
4
$3,179
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
payment standard 90
4
$2,601
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60005
safmr
4
$2,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.