2770 REGENCY OAKS BLVD, CLEARWATER, FL 33759 · CCN 105744 · chain LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
Composite
2.9 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
60
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 2.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
3
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
BLACKROCK INC
303 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
VANGUARD GROUP INC
324 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
58 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.75
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.54
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.76
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.75
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
55.3
3.75
0.54
0.61
2.60
3.76
1.7%
2025Q3
92
54.5
3.80
0.57
0.59
2.64
3.71
0.7%
2025Q2
91
50.9
3.83
0.70
0.49
2.64
3.78
0.0%
2025Q1
90
55.6
3.73
0.70
0.45
2.57
3.66
0.4%
2024Q4
92
56.1
3.85
0.73
0.41
2.70
3.73
0.5%
2024Q3
92
55.6
3.85
0.70
0.43
2.72
3.81
1.1%
2024Q2
91
55.3
3.84
0.65
0.50
2.70
3.75
0.0%
2024Q1
91
55.5
3.77
0.70
0.43
2.63
3.71
0.0%
2023Q4
92
56.8
3.74
0.69
0.46
2.60
3.66
0.0%
2023Q3
92
53.2
3.78
0.55
0.64
2.59
3.76
1.4%
2023Q2
91
55.8
3.54
0.62
0.56
2.36
3.54
0.0%
2023Q1
90
54.9
3.63
0.58
0.66
2.39
3.64
4.9%
2022Q4
92
55.3
3.47
0.62
0.51
2.34
3.34
0.0%
2022Q3
92
49.9
3.67
0.66
0.57
2.44
3.74
0.0%
2022Q2
91
45.7
3.84
0.49
0.73
2.62
3.81
0.0%
2022Q1
90
37.8
4.37
0.83
0.77
2.77
4.33
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
16
D × 9E × 2J × 5
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-12-11
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
E
2025-01-11
2024-12-11
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2025-01-11
2024-12-11
Health
F0679
Provide activities to meet all resident's needs.
D
2025-01-11
2022-12-02
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
J
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
J
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
J
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0699
Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent.
J
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2023-01-01
2022-12-02
Health
F0835
Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently.
J
2023-01-01
2021-06-04
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2021-07-04
2021-06-04
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2021-07-04
2021-06-04
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2021-07-04
2021-06-04
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
D
2021-07-04
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
39
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BLACKROCK INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
BOLDEN, KYLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-01-04
current
pecos_ownership
BOLDEN, KYLE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-28
current
pecos_ownership
CCRC PROPCO VENTURES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
CHENG, PATRICK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
HCP MA3 GP HOLDING, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HCP MA3, LP
LIMITED PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HCP PARTNER LP
LIMITED PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HCP S-H 2014 MEMBER LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HCP VENTURES II PARTNER LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HCP VENTURES II TRS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HCP/LS 2011 REIT, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HEALTHPEAK OP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
JANUS LIVING OP, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
JANUS LIVING, INC.
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
JANUS MEMBER, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
LPC OPCO HOLDCO, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
MATHEW, DANI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-23
current
pecos_ownership
MATHEW, DANI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2026-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
OCEAN ACQUISITION I LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
RUSSO, FRANK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
STATE STREET CORPORATION
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
VANGUARD GROUP INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
WEAVER, LINDSAY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-15
current
pecos_ownership
CCRC OPCO VENTURES LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2014-08-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HCP S-H 2014 MEMBER LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEALTHPEAK OP LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-02-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
S-H 2014 OPCO TRS INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KYLE BOLDEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2021-01-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANI MATHEW
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2026-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANI MATHEW
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FRANK RUSSO
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-01-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KYLE BOLDEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LINDSAY WEAVER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK CHENG
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-01-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12103
acs median gross
0
$1,353
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
0
$1,593
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
1
$1,391
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
1
$1,696
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
2
$1,712
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
2
$1,977
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
3
$2,050
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
3
$2,527
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
4
$2,324
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
4
$3,077
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
5
$2,476
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
acs median gross
$1,642
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
acs recent mover gross
$1,906
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs median gross
0
$970
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs median gross
1
$1,742
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs median gross
2
$1,938
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs median gross
3
$2,271
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs median gross
4
$681
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs median gross
5
$2,233
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs median gross
$1,890
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33759
acs recent mover gross
$2,017
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 33759
payment standard 110
0
$2,068
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 90
0
$1,692
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
safmr
0
$1,880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 110
1
$2,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 90
1
$1,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
safmr
1
$2,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 110
2
$2,563
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 90
2
$2,097
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
safmr
2
$2,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 110
3
$3,278
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 90
3
$2,682
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
safmr
3
$2,980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 110
4
$3,993
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
payment standard 90
4
$3,267
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33759
safmr
4
$3,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.