350 S RIDGEWOOD AVENUE, ORMOND BEACH, FL 32174 · CCN 105402 · chain LCE PARTNERS LLC
Composite
10.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
139
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 10.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.88
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.16
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.76
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.93
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
111.9
2.88
0.16
0.92
1.80
2.76
6.1%
2025Q3
92
106.5
3.00
0.11
0.95
1.94
3.00
11.6%
2025Q2
91
112.5
3.10
0.18
0.87
2.04
3.01
10.3%
2025Q1
90
105.8
3.21
0.22
0.92
2.07
3.08
7.9%
2024Q4
92
109.7
3.14
0.23
0.90
2.01
3.06
11.2%
2024Q3
92
108.6
3.19
0.21
0.91
2.07
3.09
7.1%
2024Q2
91
119.4
3.20
0.20
0.93
2.07
3.09
13.4%
2024Q1
91
119.8
3.15
0.21
0.89
2.05
3.08
8.9%
2023Q4
92
118.7
3.08
0.20
0.84
2.05
3.06
3.6%
2023Q3
92
121.2
2.99
0.10
0.87
2.02
3.00
3.4%
2023Q2
91
122.8
2.97
0.07
0.90
2.01
2.97
11.5%
2023Q1
90
119.6
3.05
0.12
0.91
2.02
3.03
11.1%
2022Q4
92
110.3
3.25
0.08
0.99
2.18
3.21
16.8%
2022Q3
92
103.5
3.20
0.09
1.01
2.11
3.21
13.6%
2022Q2
91
105.3
3.60
0.28
0.87
2.45
3.55
39.7%
2022Q1
90
100.6
3.58
0.27
0.77
2.55
3.54
55.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
9
D × 6E × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-09-05
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2025-09-26
2024-12-05
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2024-12-24
2024-08-01
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-08-21
2024-01-18
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-02-05
2023-08-08
Health · complaint
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
E
2023-09-07
2023-01-12
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2023-03-15
2023-01-12
Health
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
D
2023-03-15
2021-05-28
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2021-06-28
2021-05-28
Health
F0694
Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed.
D
2021-06-28
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
13
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
KLEIN, SAMUEL
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
75%
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRIDGEVIEW PROPERTY HOLDINGS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
33%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BOESE, KALISHA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-01-19
current
pecos_ownership
BRIDGEVIEW PROPERTY HOLDINGS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2022-10-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BRIDGEVIEW PROPERTY HOLDINGS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
THACKER, TRICIA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-04-05
current
pecos_ownership
GABRIEL LIVING CENTER, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2003-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LCE PARTNERS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SAMUEL KLEIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
75%
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SAMUEL GUTMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KALISHA BOESE
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2023-01-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRICIA THACKER
OTHER
0%
2022-04-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIDGEVIEW PROPERTY HOLDINGS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2021-10-01
ended 2022-09-30
hcris_a_8_1
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,963,877
$1,963,877
—
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$851,387
$851,387
—
—
—
2
propco
2023-09-30
$2,329,576
$2,329,576
—
—
—
2
propco
2022-09-30
$1,083,374
$1,083,374
—
—
—
2
propco
2021-09-30
$487,984
$329,727
—
$158,257
—
0
propco
2020-09-30
$425,510
—
—
$395,673
$29,837
3
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12127
acs median gross
0
$1,201
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
0
$1,205
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
1
$1,182
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
1
$1,385
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
2
$1,440
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
2
$1,700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
3
$1,746
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
3
$2,241
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
4
$1,896
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
4
$2,429
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
5
$2,038
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
acs median gross
$1,467
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
acs recent mover gross
$1,745
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32174
acs median gross
1
$1,244
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32174
acs median gross
2
$1,387
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32174
acs median gross
3
$2,059
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32174
acs median gross
4
$3,023
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32174
acs median gross
$1,413
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32174
acs recent mover gross
$1,924
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 32174
payment standard 110
0
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 90
0
$1,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
safmr
0
$1,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 110
1
$1,441
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 90
1
$1,179
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
safmr
1
$1,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 110
2
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 90
2
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
safmr
2
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 110
3
$2,332
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 90
3
$1,908
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
safmr
3
$2,120
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 110
4
$2,684
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
payment standard 90
4
$2,196
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32174
safmr
4
$2,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.