Reads as: riskier than 53.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.68
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.40
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.54
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.73
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
150.6
3.68
0.40
0.92
2.37
3.54
0.0%
2025Q3
92
146.2
3.83
0.41
0.92
2.50
3.69
0.0%
2025Q2
91
152.6
3.52
0.39
0.86
2.28
3.42
0.0%
2025Q1
90
154.2
3.52
0.49
0.75
2.29
3.40
0.0%
2024Q4
92
148.5
3.68
0.50
0.76
2.42
3.49
0.0%
2024Q3
92
149.6
3.51
0.46
0.86
2.19
3.39
0.7%
2024Q2
91
153.0
3.45
0.40
0.86
2.19
3.33
3.0%
2024Q1
91
147.9
3.50
0.45
0.83
2.21
3.38
2.6%
2023Q4
92
140.3
3.55
0.50
0.79
2.26
3.44
1.3%
2023Q3
92
137.7
3.51
0.48
0.82
2.20
3.41
3.3%
2023Q2
91
134.5
3.49
0.54
0.76
2.19
3.42
3.6%
2023Q1
90
133.3
3.33
0.56
0.64
2.13
3.25
10.8%
2022Q4
92
121.0
3.44
0.56
0.69
2.19
3.40
11.5%
2022Q3
92
111.9
3.46
0.51
0.81
2.14
3.23
5.3%
2022Q2
91
106.5
3.60
0.55
0.83
2.21
3.51
0.0%
2022Q1
90
106.4
3.75
0.60
0.72
2.43
3.70
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure the activities program is directed by a qualified professional.
E
2024-08-15
2024-07-25
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-08-25
2024-07-25
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2024-10-10
2024-07-25
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-08-25
2024-07-25
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-08-25
2021-09-02
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2021-10-02
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
39
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
CROSS, CINDY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-04-21
current
pecos_ownership
DEVELOPERS INVESTMENT COMPANY INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEVELOPERS INVESTMENT COMPANY INC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
1993-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
FLETCHER, TODD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
current
pecos_ownership
HENRY, TERRY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
LAY, LISA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-02-09
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA, INC.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
current
pecos_ownership
MAZZO, MICHELE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2016-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
MUSCATI, STEPHANIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
current
pecos_ownership
MUSCATI, STEPHANIE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, AARON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, AUBREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, FORREST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2011-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, FORREST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
1993-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
PUNTA GORDA MEDICAL INVESTORS LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
PUNTA GORDA MEDICAL INVESTORS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2011-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
RUANO, ODEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-11-16
current
pecos_ownership
RUANO, ODEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
current
pecos_ownership
SWANKER, RICHARD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
THURMOND, JOAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
ZIEGLER, JAMES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
current
pecos_ownership
FORREST PRESTON
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
99%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FORREST PRESTON
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
1993-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AARON PRESTON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AUBREY PRESTON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDY CROSS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-04-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FORREST PRESTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2011-12-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES ZIEGLER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOAN THURMOND
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA LAY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-02-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHELE MAZZO
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2016-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ODEL RUANO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ODEL RUANO
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-11-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD SWANKER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEPHANIE MUSCATI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEPHANIE MUSCATI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRY HENRY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TODD FLETCHER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$3,128,018
$625,829
—
—
$1,347,659
6
—
2023-12-31
$2,640,743
$611,428
—
—
$1,123,459
6
—
2022-12-31
$2,549,088
$601,785
$461,578
—
$1,028,030
6
—
2021-12-31
$2,912,131
$556,419
—
—
$1,233,393
7
—
2020-12-31
$3,215,941
$636,737
—
—
$198,458
7
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12015
acs median gross
0
$1,333
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12015
fmr
0
$1,159
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12015
acs median gross
1
$1,085
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12015
fmr
1
$1,167
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12015
acs median gross
2
$1,396
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12015
fmr
2
$1,470
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12015
acs median gross
3
$1,690
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12015
fmr
3
$2,041
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12015
acs median gross
4
$2,144
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12015
fmr
4
$2,326
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12015
acs median gross
$1,464
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12015
acs recent mover gross
$1,860
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33950
acs median gross
0
$1,400
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33950
acs median gross
2
$1,203
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33950
acs median gross
3
$2,090
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33950
acs median gross
$1,276
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33950
acs recent mover gross
$1,788
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 33950
payment standard 110
0
$1,298
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 90
0
$1,062
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
safmr
0
$1,180
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 110
1
$1,309
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 90
1
$1,071
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
safmr
1
$1,190
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 110
2
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 90
2
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
safmr
2
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 110
3
$2,288
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 90
3
$1,872
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
safmr
3
$2,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 110
4
$2,607
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
payment standard 90
4
$2,133
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33950
safmr
4
$2,370
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.