550 NATIONAL HEALTHCARE DRIVE, DAYTONA BEACH, FL 32114 · CCN 105915 · chain SOLARIS FOUNDATION INC
Composite
8.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
73
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 8.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
2
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
BERKOWITZ MICHAEL
20 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
HERZKA CHAIM
16 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.70
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.51
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.55
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.76
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
70.1
3.70
0.51
0.90
2.29
3.55
0.0%
2025Q3
92
67.6
3.75
0.40
1.03
2.31
3.64
0.0%
2025Q2
91
68.7
3.69
0.37
1.04
2.28
3.53
0.0%
2025Q1
90
70.3
3.59
0.36
1.01
2.22
3.44
0.0%
2024Q4
92
70.5
3.57
0.42
0.94
2.21
3.42
0.0%
2024Q3
92
69.0
3.70
0.46
0.95
2.30
3.53
0.0%
2024Q2
91
68.9
3.62
0.38
1.01
2.23
3.46
0.0%
2024Q1
91
68.7
3.64
0.43
0.94
2.27
3.49
0.0%
2023Q4
92
67.2
3.78
0.45
1.00
2.33
3.57
0.0%
2023Q3
92
67.8
3.76
0.36
1.08
2.33
3.58
0.0%
2023Q2
91
68.1
3.73
0.34
1.11
2.28
3.51
0.0%
2023Q1
90
70.8
3.48
0.32
0.99
2.17
3.33
0.0%
2022Q4
92
68.9
3.60
0.33
1.04
2.23
3.46
0.0%
2022Q3
92
68.4
3.57
0.29
1.08
2.20
3.39
0.0%
2022Q2
91
65.6
3.98
0.21
1.34
2.42
3.85
0.1%
2022Q1
90
60.5
4.22
0.26
1.44
2.52
4.09
5.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
3
D × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-07-02
Health
F0802
Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service.
D
2025-08-08
2025-07-02
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2025-08-08
2023-08-24
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-09-24
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
28
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DAYTONA HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2015-10-20
current
pecos_ownership
ARZUAGA, STACEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAIRD, ROSS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
BAIRD, ROSS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BELL, THOMAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BELL, THOMAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
BERKOWITZ, MICHAEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
BUXBAUM, MIRIAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
CORLEY, SHAWN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
HERZKA, CHAIM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
OBERLANDER, JOSEPH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
OGDEN, JESSICA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-09
current
pecos_ownership
PARKER, LAURIE
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
PARKER, SHELBY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
SOLARIS FOUNDATION INC.
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-10-06
current
pecos_ownership
SOLARIS HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-10-06
current
pecos_ownership
ROSS BAIRD
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JESSICA OGDEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
33%
2023-01-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STACEY ARZUAGA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
33%
2017-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHAIM HERZKA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH OBERLANDER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL BERKOWITZ
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MIRIAM BUXBAUM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHAWN CORLEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS BELL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROSS BAIRD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHELBY PARKER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS BELL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,223,245
—
—
$650,920
$19,211
0
—
2023-12-31
$1,339,713
—
—
$673,763
$35,186
0
—
2022-12-31
$605,384
—
—
$58,528
—
0
—
2021-12-31
$521,873
—
—
—
—
0
—
2020-12-31
$548,926
—
$548,926
—
—
0
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12127
acs median gross
0
$1,201
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
0
$1,205
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
1
$1,182
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
1
$1,385
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
2
$1,440
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
2
$1,700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
3
$1,746
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
3
$2,241
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
4
$1,896
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
fmr
4
$2,429
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12127
acs median gross
5
$2,038
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
acs median gross
$1,467
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12127
acs recent mover gross
$1,745
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs median gross
0
$834
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs median gross
1
$1,124
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs median gross
2
$1,364
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs median gross
3
$1,395
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs median gross
4
$1,241
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs median gross
5
$1,652
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs median gross
$1,227
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32114
acs recent mover gross
$1,490
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 32114
payment standard 110
0
$1,298
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 90
0
$1,062
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
safmr
0
$1,180
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 110
1
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 90
1
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
safmr
1
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 110
2
$1,837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 90
2
$1,503
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
safmr
2
$1,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 110
3
$2,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 90
3
$1,980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
safmr
3
$2,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 110
4
$2,629
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
payment standard 90
4
$2,151
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32114
safmr
4
$2,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.