Reads as: riskier than 72.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.57
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.38
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.45
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.62
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
182.7
3.57
0.38
0.80
2.40
3.45
0.9%
2025Q3
92
189.7
3.47
0.31
0.83
2.33
3.39
0.5%
2025Q2
91
188.3
3.54
0.31
0.80
2.43
3.45
0.6%
2025Q1
90
191.6
3.50
0.26
0.84
2.40
3.39
0.7%
2024Q4
92
189.5
3.52
0.25
0.83
2.44
3.43
0.4%
2024Q3
92
186.8
3.53
0.29
0.80
2.44
3.38
3.0%
2024Q2
91
193.5
3.52
0.24
0.83
2.44
3.43
9.4%
2024Q1
91
193.6
3.49
0.24
0.82
2.43
3.44
11.7%
2023Q4
92
196.4
3.44
0.24
0.78
2.42
3.36
9.0%
2023Q3
92
188.0
3.47
0.24
0.81
2.42
3.42
9.6%
2023Q2
91
191.8
3.49
0.23
0.82
2.43
3.44
12.1%
2023Q1
90
213.6
3.21
0.22
0.78
2.21
3.15
12.8%
2022Q4
92
196.6
3.44
0.22
0.85
2.37
3.42
12.8%
2022Q3
92
195.0
3.64
0.31
0.85
2.48
3.54
10.1%
2022Q2
91
194.1
3.63
0.35
0.79
2.49
3.45
11.6%
2022Q1
90
192.4
3.79
0.25
0.94
2.60
3.64
7.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
J
2025-10-10
2025-09-05
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2025-10-10
2025-09-05
Health · complaint
F0835
Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently.
D
2025-10-10
2025-09-05
Health · complaint
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
D
2025-10-10
2025-07-31
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-08-31
2025-07-31
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-08-31
2025-07-31
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-08-31
2025-07-31
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-08-31
2025-07-31
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
D
2025-08-31
2025-07-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-08-31
2024-03-15
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-04-21
2024-03-15
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2024-04-21
2024-03-15
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2024-04-21
2024-03-15
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-04-21
2024-03-15
Health
F0835
Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently.
F
2024-04-21
2024-03-15
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
L
2024-04-21
2022-12-01
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2023-01-01
2022-12-01
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-01-01
2022-12-01
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2023-01-01
2022-12-01
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-01-01
2022-12-01
Health
F0847
Inform resident or representatives choice to enter into binding arbitration agreement and right to refuse.
C
2023-01-01
2022-12-01
Health
F0848
Provide a neutral and fair arbitration process and agree to arbitrator and venue.
C
2023-01-01
2022-12-01
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-01-01
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
14
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ARCHDIOCESE OF MIAMI INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
1995-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
VILLA MARIA NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
1995-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
FRICK, MARY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, NATHANIEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, NATHANIEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-13
current
pecos_ownership
MOGHADDAM, HAMIDREZA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MOGHADDAM, HAMIDREZA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-16
current
pecos_ownership
WILSON, LAURA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HAMIDREZA MOGHADDAM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HAMIDREZA MOGHADDAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA WILSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARY FRICK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NATHANIEL JOHNSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NATHANIEL JOHNSON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12086
acs median gross
0
$1,408
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12086
fmr
0
$1,828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12086
acs median gross
1
$1,554
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12086
fmr
1
$1,995
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12086
acs median gross
2
$1,890
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12086
fmr
2
$2,436
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12086
acs median gross
3
$2,234
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12086
fmr
3
$3,127
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12086
acs median gross
4
$2,645
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12086
fmr
4
$3,613
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12086
acs median gross
5
$2,979
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12086
acs median gross
$1,829
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12086
acs recent mover gross
$2,305
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33161
acs median gross
0
$1,225
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33161
acs median gross
1
$1,513
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33161
acs median gross
2
$1,722
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33161
acs median gross
3
$2,207
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33161
acs median gross
4
$2,327
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33161
acs median gross
$1,611
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33161
acs recent mover gross
$1,859
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 33161
payment standard 110
0
$2,002
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 90
0
$1,638
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
safmr
0
$1,820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 110
1
$2,178
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 90
1
$1,782
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
safmr
1
$1,980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 110
2
$2,662
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 90
2
$2,178
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
safmr
2
$2,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 110
3
$3,421
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 90
3
$2,799
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
safmr
3
$3,110
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 110
4
$3,949
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
payment standard 90
4
$3,231
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33161
safmr
4
$3,590
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.