Reads as: riskier than 25.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
THOMAS JOHN
16 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MS median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.09
3.68
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.90
0.34
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.07
3.30
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.10
3.82
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
53.3
3.09
0.90
0.38
1.80
3.07
0.0%
2025Q3
92
53.2
3.11
0.86
0.40
1.84
3.01
0.0%
2025Q2
91
54.9
2.96
0.73
0.48
1.75
2.83
0.0%
2025Q1
90
55.1
3.08
0.63
0.55
1.90
3.05
0.0%
2024Q4
92
55.3
3.03
0.59
0.57
1.86
3.00
0.0%
2024Q3
92
57.1
2.78
0.56
0.58
1.64
2.61
0.0%
2024Q2
91
54.9
2.61
0.51
0.71
1.39
2.57
0.0%
2024Q1
91
55.5
2.68
0.49
0.67
1.52
2.47
0.0%
2023Q4
92
54.8
2.65
0.51
0.72
1.42
2.40
0.0%
2023Q3
92
56.9
2.86
0.56
0.74
1.56
2.60
0.1%
2023Q2
91
56.4
2.40
0.54
0.73
1.13
2.08
0.0%
2023Q1
90
56.9
2.46
0.57
0.67
1.22
2.24
0.0%
2022Q4
92
55.8
2.24
0.76
0.43
1.05
2.00
0.0%
2022Q3
92
54.4
2.28
0.76
0.48
1.05
2.04
0.0%
2022Q2
91
55.6
2.11
0.71
0.52
0.89
1.92
4.9%
2022Q1
90
55.7
2.38
0.61
0.71
1.05
2.02
25.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
25
D × 18E × 4F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-30
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
—
2024-12-05
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-01-06
2024-12-05
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-01-06
2024-12-05
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2025-01-06
2024-12-05
Health
F0679
Provide activities to meet all resident's needs.
E
2025-01-06
2024-12-05
Health
F0694
Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed.
D
2025-01-06
2024-12-05
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-01-06
2024-12-05
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-01-06
2023-08-03
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health · complaint
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-09-14
2023-08-03
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
F
2023-09-14
2022-01-06
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2022-03-06
2022-01-06
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2022-03-06
2022-01-06
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2022-03-06
2022-01-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2022-03-06
2022-01-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2022-03-06
2022-01-06
Health
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
D
2022-03-06
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
23
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
FC ENCORE UNION LLC
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOBACK, TIFFANY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
JONES, TEQUILLA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
MSOP HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NESHOBA HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NORTH OF DECATUR PARENTCO LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NU C II IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NU C IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
PERRY, WILLIAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, ALEX
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNF CARE CENTERS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNF MGR LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-17
current
pecos_ownership
SNF MGR LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
TATE, CRYSTAL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
THOMAS, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZENITH HOLDCO II LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZENITH HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALEX SMITH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CRYSTAL TATE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN THOMAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TEQUILLA JONES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIFFANY HOBACK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM PERRY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$276,366
—
—
—
—
3
—
2023-12-31
$249,024
—
—
—
—
3
—
2022-12-31
$243,077
—
—
—
—
3
—
2021-12-31
$247,315
—
—
—
—
4
—
2020-12-31
$261,616
—
—
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
29
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 28099
acs median gross
0
$477
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 28099
fmr
0
$727
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 28099
acs median gross
1
$488
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 28099
fmr
1
$768
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 28099
acs median gross
2
$811
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 28099
fmr
2
$842
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 28099
acs median gross
3
$1,022
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 28099
fmr
3
$1,147
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 28099
acs median gross
4
$1,095
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 28099
fmr
4
$1,354
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 28099
acs median gross
$839
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 39365
acs median gross
2
$682
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 39365
acs median gross
3
$790
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 39365
acs median gross
$754
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 39365
payment standard 110
0
$803
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 90
0
$657
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
safmr
0
$730
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 110
1
$836
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 90
1
$684
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
safmr
1
$760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 110
2
$1,023
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 90
2
$837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
safmr
2
$930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 110
3
$1,265
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 90
3
$1,035
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
safmr
3
$1,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 110
4
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
payment standard 90
4
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 39365
safmr
4
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.