Reads as: riskier than 18.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.55
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.09
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.71
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.49
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
44.7
3.55
1.09
0.28
2.18
3.71
0.0%
2025Q3
92
43.4
3.55
1.03
0.37
2.15
3.77
0.0%
2025Q2
91
44.2
3.54
1.08
0.28
2.17
3.75
0.0%
2025Q1
90
41.5
3.82
1.18
0.29
2.35
4.08
0.0%
2024Q4
92
47.9
3.26
0.96
0.28
2.02
3.48
0.0%
2024Q3
92
44.0
4.04
1.09
0.28
2.67
4.02
0.0%
2024Q2
91
47.6
4.31
1.07
0.34
2.90
4.14
0.0%
2024Q1
91
45.2
4.01
1.00
0.33
2.68
3.96
0.0%
2023Q4
92
44.6
3.97
0.93
0.49
2.55
3.91
0.0%
2023Q3
92
43.1
3.73
0.72
0.65
2.36
3.90
0.0%
2023Q2
91
44.4
3.54
0.70
0.59
2.25
3.80
0.0%
2023Q1
90
47.3
3.35
0.55
0.65
2.15
3.49
0.0%
2022Q4
92
44.6
3.77
0.66
0.67
2.44
3.80
0.0%
2022Q3
92
48.4
3.50
0.57
0.62
2.30
3.47
0.0%
2022Q2
91
44.9
3.87
0.62
0.67
2.58
3.91
0.0%
2022Q1
90
40.8
4.28
0.68
0.72
2.87
4.31
4.6%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
4
B × 1D × 2E × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-04-17
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-05-17
2024-01-19
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2024-02-18
2024-01-19
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
E
2024-02-18
2022-09-08
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
B
2022-10-07
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
46
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ANDRUS, BRAD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-09-23
current
pecos_ownership
ANDRUS, BRAD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
BERNTSEN, KRISTOFER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
BISON, MICHAEL
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-15
current
pecos_ownership
BUTLER, RICHARD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CANIK, ALEISHA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-11
current
pecos_ownership
CANIK, ALEISHA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHATS PGA PROPERTIES
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CHATS PGA PROPERTIES
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CHATSWORTH PGA PROPERTIES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2007-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
COLON, GREGG
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEVONSHIRE AT PGA NATIONAL LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2007-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEVONSHIRE PGA HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2007-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
EMBLEY, MARK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
ERICKSON LIVING HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ERICKSON LIVING PROPERTIES
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ERICKSON SENIOR LIVING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
ERICKSON SENIOR LIVING LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-23
current
pecos_ownership
GANTERT, NEAL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
HALL, JOHN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-05-07
current
pecos_ownership
HALL, JOHN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
OAK INVESTMENT TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
OAK INVESTMENT TRUST II
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
OLIVERI, SUSAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-05-07
current
pecos_ownership
REDWOOD HOLDINGS, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
RIDLEY, FRED
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
SONES, RANDALL
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
STINER, PAMELA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SWEETSER, CHRISTIAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALEISHA CANIK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALEISHA CANIK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRAD ANDRUS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-08-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRAD ANDRUS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-09-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHATS PGA PROPERTIES
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
CHATS PGA PROPERTIES
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
CHATS PGA PROPERTIES
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
CHRISTIAN SWEETSER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGG COLON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN HALL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-05-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN HALL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRISTOFER BERNTSEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK EMBLEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NEAL GANTERT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAMELA STINER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD BUTLER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUSAN OLIVERI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-05-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,502,784
$1,844,394
$30,125
—
—
3
propco
2023-12-31
$1,246,143
—
$517,403
—
—
3
propco
2022-12-31
$606,441
—
$425,743
—
—
3
propco
2021-12-31
$601,206
—
$418,588
—
—
3
propco
2020-12-31
$550,291
—
$399,489
—
—
3
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12099
acs median gross
0
$1,584
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12099
fmr
0
$1,788
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12099
acs median gross
1
$1,688
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12099
fmr
1
$1,901
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12099
acs median gross
2
$1,878
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12099
fmr
2
$2,254
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12099
acs median gross
3
$2,281
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12099
fmr
3
$2,920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12099
acs median gross
4
$2,678
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12099
fmr
4
$3,388
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12099
acs median gross
5
$3,061
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12099
acs median gross
$1,916
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12099
acs recent mover gross
$2,333
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33418
acs median gross
1
$2,284
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33418
acs median gross
2
$2,554
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33418
acs median gross
3
$3,148
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33418
acs median gross
4
$2,417
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33418
acs median gross
$2,578
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33418
acs recent mover gross
$2,793
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 33418
payment standard 110
0
$2,508
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 90
0
$2,052
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
safmr
0
$2,280
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 110
1
$2,662
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 90
1
$2,178
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
safmr
1
$2,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 110
2
$3,157
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 90
2
$2,583
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
safmr
2
$2,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 110
3
$4,092
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 90
3
$3,348
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
safmr
3
$3,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 110
4
$4,741
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
payment standard 90
4
$3,879
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33418
safmr
4
$4,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.