Composite
9.2 / 100 percentile
Screener / 405023
A
DAMAS HOSPITAL SNF
snfPR
2213 PONCE BY PASS, PONCE, PR 00717 · CCN 405023
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
25
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 9.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
Score model4Components10CHOW radar1Distress radar1Staffing16Penalties1Deficiencies30Licensure0Ownership10Related party0Transactions0Market rent34
Composite explanation
4| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 70.9 | 66.2 | 0.30 | 0.3000 | 21.27 | in index |
| chow risk | 25.2 | 25.0 | 0.15 | 0.1500 | 3.78 | in index |
| staffing risk | 14.6 | 14.7 | 0.25 | 0.2500 | 3.65 | in index |
| billing conduct | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.30 | 0.3000 | 0.00 | in index |
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Component scores and registry models
10| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 0.0 | A | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 25.0 | B | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| p adverse action 12m | 4.2 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 0.3 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 66.2 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 14.7 | A | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| regulatory risk | 66.0 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 66.0 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 14.7 | A | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 14.7 | A | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
CHOW radar — 12-month sale probability
full board →p(CHOW, 12m)
0.3%
model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29
Percentile among SNFs
48.1
100 = most likely to sell
Holdout AUC
0.874
evaluated before shipping, never refit
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 0.00 | -1.24 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | -0.40 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 4.04 | -0.20 | |
| Occupancy | 0.76 | -0.19 |
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Distress radar — 12-month termination probability
full board →p(termination, 12m)
4.2%
model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29
Percentile among SNFs
96.2
100 = most likely to lose certification
Holdout AUC
0.971
top decile caught 95% of actual exits
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 0.00 | +1.62 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 0.00 | +1.43 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | +1.20 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 4.04 | -0.35 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | -0.67 | -0.34 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 3.26 | +0.23 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 |
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | PR median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 4.04 | 3.15 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 3.35 | 2.52 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.79 | 2.85 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 4.14 | 3.27 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 19.1 | 4.04 | 3.35 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 3.79 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 17.8 | 4.24 | 3.44 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 4.13 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 17.9 | 4.26 | 3.47 | 0.79 | 0.00 | 4.03 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 18.0 | 4.42 | 3.73 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 4.11 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 16.5 | 4.72 | 3.85 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 4.51 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 19.8 | 4.26 | 3.41 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 3.92 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 18.3 | 4.29 | 3.92 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 3.84 | 3.3% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 14.9 | 4.97 | 4.47 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 4.53 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 16.7 | 4.23 | 3.95 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 4.16 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 16.3 | 4.13 | 3.92 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 3.89 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 13.1 | 5.27 | 4.91 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 4.98 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 12.7 | 5.53 | 5.13 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 5.34 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 12.4 | 5.52 | 5.16 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 5.19 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 11.0 | 6.06 | 4.80 | 1.26 | 0.00 | 5.34 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 12.5 | 5.25 | 4.41 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 5.09 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 12.1 | 5.44 | 4.31 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 4.74 | 0.0% |
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
1| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-17 | Fine | $10,839 | CMS provider data |
Total fines on record: $10,839
Deficiencies
30D × 12E × 4F × 13G × 1
deficiencies by survey year
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | E | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0636 | Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months. | D | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0655 | Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted | D | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0805 | Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs. | F | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | F | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0813 | Have a policy regarding use and storage of foods brought to residents by family and other visitors. | F | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | F | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0921 | Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public. | F | 2025-05-09 |
| 2025-03-28 | Health | F0925 | Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests. | D | 2025-05-09 |
| 2024-10-30 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2025-02-07 |
| 2024-10-30 | Health · complaint | F0606 | Not hire anyone with a finding of abuse, neglect, exploitation, or theft. | D | 2025-02-13 |
| 2024-10-30 | Health · complaint | F0607 | Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft. | D | 2025-02-07 |
| 2024-10-30 | Health · complaint | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | F | 2025-02-14 |
| 2024-10-30 | Health · complaint | F0940 | Develop, implement, and/or maintain an effective training program for all new and existing staff members. | F | 2025-02-07 |
| 2024-10-30 | Health · complaint | F0942 | Ensure that staff members are educated on resident rights and facility responsibilities to properly care for its residents. | F | 2025-02-07 |
| 2024-10-30 | Health · complaint | F0943 | Give their staff education on dementia care, and what abuse, neglect, and exploitation are; and how to report abuse, neglect, and exploitation. | F | 2025-01-04 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2024-06-21 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0558 | Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident. | E | 2024-06-21 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0583 | Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential. | D | 2024-06-21 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | E | 2024-06-28 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | G | 2024-06-20 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0676 | Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason. | D | 2024-06-21 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2024-06-20 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0803 | Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident. | D | 2024-06-20 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | F | 2024-06-20 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0868 | Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly | F | 2024-05-24 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | F | 2024-06-20 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0921 | Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public. | F | 2024-06-26 |
| 2024-05-17 | Health | F0925 | Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests. | E | 2024-05-28 |
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
10| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGRANER SUAREZ, MIGUEL | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2024-10-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MAGRANER SUAREZ, MIGUEL | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-12-18 | current | pecos_ownership |
| TORRES-BERNAL, MARIA | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2023-10-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| TORRES-BERNAL, MARIA | CORPORATE OFFICER | — | 2013-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| TORRES-BERNAL, MARIA | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-12-18 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MARIA TORRES-BERNAL | CORPORATE OFFICER | 0% | 2013-01-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MARIA TORRES-BERNAL | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2023-10-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MARIA TORRES-BERNAL | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-12-18 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MIGUEL MAGRANER SUAREZ | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2024-10-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MIGUEL MAGRANER SUAREZ | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-12-18 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Transactions
0No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Market rent context
34| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 72113 | acs median gross | 0 | $366 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 72113 | fmr | 0 | $469 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 72113 | acs median gross | 1 | $374 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 72113 | fmr | 1 | $491 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 72113 | acs median gross | 2 | $462 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 72113 | fmr | 2 | $538 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 72113 | acs median gross | 3 | $674 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 72113 | fmr | 3 | $748 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 72113 | acs median gross | 4 | $734 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 72113 | fmr | 4 | $844 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 72113 | acs median gross | $536 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 72113 | acs recent mover gross | $703 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 00717 | acs median gross | 0 | $930 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 00717 | acs median gross | 1 | $501 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 00717 | acs median gross | 2 | $481 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 00717 | acs median gross | 3 | $542 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 00717 | acs median gross | 4 | $835 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 00717 | acs median gross | $519 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 00717 | acs recent mover gross | $411 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $517 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $423 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | safmr | 0 | $470 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $528 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $432 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | safmr | 1 | $480 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $594 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $486 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | safmr | 2 | $540 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $825 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $675 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | safmr | 3 | $750 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $891 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $729 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 00717 | safmr | 4 | $810 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.