710 NORTH SUN DRIVE, LAKE MARY, FL 32746 · CCN 106029
Composite
42.9 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
120
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 42.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
11
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
28 chains
TRAVITSKY AARON
106 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
28 chains
FREUND NOCHUM
109 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
27 chains
DAGAN AMITAI
101 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
27 chains
GOLDBERGER ABRAHAM
100 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.2 vs natl
HERSKOWITZ ELIEZER
45 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.2 vs natl
HERSKOWITZ YAAKOV
45 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.2 vs natl
ASPIRE MGT LLC
44 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.5 vs natl
GOLDBERGER FAIGY
111 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.0 vs natl
TRAVITSKY AARON
153 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
20 chains
GOLDBERGER FAIGY
68 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
NURIEL GABRIEL
4 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.12
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.28
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.05
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.14
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
115.9
3.12
0.28
0.82
2.01
3.05
0.0%
2025Q3
92
117.0
3.12
0.25
0.85
2.02
3.08
0.0%
2025Q2
91
117.5
3.06
0.23
0.80
2.03
2.94
0.0%
2025Q1
90
117.7
3.04
0.26
0.78
2.00
2.94
0.0%
2024Q4
92
118.1
3.11
0.26
0.82
2.02
3.03
0.0%
2024Q3
92
115.3
3.02
0.27
0.84
1.92
2.98
0.0%
2024Q2
91
111.9
3.13
0.20
0.94
1.99
2.92
0.0%
2024Q1
91
112.4
3.07
0.33
0.72
2.02
2.90
0.0%
2023Q4
92
107.7
2.83
0.29
0.79
1.75
2.80
0.0%
2023Q3
92
112.0
2.62
0.21
0.83
1.58
2.47
1.2%
2023Q2
91
108.3
2.63
0.24
0.88
1.51
2.55
17.0%
2023Q1
90
112.3
2.68
0.21
0.84
1.63
2.63
27.2%
2022Q4
92
112.9
2.85
0.23
0.93
1.69
2.69
28.3%
2022Q3
92
105.5
3.20
0.39
0.86
1.95
3.21
34.3%
2022Q2
91
112.0
3.02
0.44
0.72
1.86
3.00
28.0%
2022Q1
90
110.1
3.26
0.35
0.74
2.16
3.11
24.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
15
D × 9E × 6
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-07-25
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
E
2024-08-25
2024-07-25
Health
F0638
Assure that each resident’s assessment is updated at least once every 3 months.
E
2024-08-25
2024-07-25
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-08-25
2024-07-25
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
E
2024-08-25
2024-07-25
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
E
2024-08-25
2024-07-25
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-08-25
2022-12-09
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
E
2023-01-09
2022-12-09
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-01-09
2022-12-09
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2023-01-09
2022-12-09
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-01-09
2022-12-09
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2023-01-09
2021-02-04
Health
F0568
Properly hold, secure, and manage each resident's personal money which is deposited with the nursing home.
D
2021-03-04
2021-02-04
Health
F0569
Notify each resident of certain balances and convey resident funds upon discharge, eviction, or death.
D
2021-03-04
2021-02-04
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2021-03-04
2021-02-04
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2021-03-04
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
16
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
710 N SUN DR OPCO HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
710 N SUN DR OPCO PARENT LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
ASPIRE MGT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
DAGAN, AMITAI
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
current
pecos_ownership
ESCANDER, CAROLINA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-23
current
pecos_ownership
FREUND, NOCHUM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDBERGER, ABRAHAM
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDBERGER, FAIGY
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
current
pecos_ownership
HERSKOWITZ, ELIEZER
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
current
pecos_ownership
HERSKOWITZ, YAAKOV
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
current
pecos_ownership
NURIEL, GABRIEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TRAVITSKY, AARON
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
current
pecos_ownership
CAROLINA ESCANDER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EPSILON HEALTH CARE PROPERTIES LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2020-07-01
ended 2021-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
GABRIEL NURIEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NOCHUM FREUND
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$716,437
—
—
—
—
3
—
2023-12-31
$42,383
—
—
—
—
3
—
2023-11-30
$222,263
—
—
—
—
4
—
2023-06-30
$581,256
—
—
—
—
2
—
2022-06-30
$665,213
—
—
—
—
4
—
2021-06-30
$666,759
—
—
—
—
6
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12117
acs median gross
0
$1,494
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
0
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
1
$1,617
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
1
$1,731
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
2
$1,764
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
2
$1,972
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
3
$1,991
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
3
$2,476
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
4
$2,284
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
4
$2,924
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
5
$3,252
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
acs median gross
$1,783
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
acs recent mover gross
$1,922
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32746
acs median gross
0
$2,189
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32746
acs median gross
1
$1,755
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32746
acs median gross
2
$1,967
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32746
acs median gross
3
$2,284
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32746
acs median gross
4
$2,738
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32746
acs median gross
$2,059
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32746
acs recent mover gross
$2,277
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 32746
payment standard 110
0
$2,101
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 90
0
$1,719
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
safmr
0
$1,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 110
1
$2,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 90
1
$1,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
safmr
1
$2,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 110
2
$2,508
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 90
2
$2,052
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
safmr
2
$2,280
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 110
3
$3,146
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 90
3
$2,574
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
safmr
3
$2,860
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 110
4
$3,718
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
payment standard 90
4
$3,042
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32746
safmr
4
$3,380
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.