Reads as: riskier than 27.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.34
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.63
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.20
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.40
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
103.6
4.34
0.63
0.55
3.17
4.20
0.7%
2025Q3
92
106.8
4.24
0.57
0.53
3.14
3.96
0.0%
2025Q2
91
109.2
4.05
0.60
0.48
2.96
3.91
0.0%
2025Q1
90
109.6
3.87
0.57
0.53
2.77
3.92
0.0%
2024Q4
92
108.4
3.84
0.56
0.50
2.79
3.90
0.0%
2024Q3
92
109.0
3.98
0.50
0.64
2.84
3.92
0.0%
2024Q2
91
107.3
4.04
0.51
0.68
2.85
3.90
0.0%
2024Q1
91
107.8
3.78
0.39
0.76
2.62
3.65
0.0%
2023Q4
92
109.8
3.43
0.40
0.67
2.36
3.42
1.1%
2023Q3
92
110.8
3.15
0.38
0.58
2.19
3.08
8.0%
2023Q2
91
112.9
3.03
0.44
0.49
2.10
3.05
13.2%
2023Q1
90
109.9
3.13
0.40
0.58
2.15
3.19
6.5%
2022Q4
92
115.1
3.02
0.40
0.55
2.07
3.10
4.8%
2022Q3
92
112.5
3.07
0.44
0.54
2.09
3.16
7.8%
2022Q2
91
113.5
3.20
0.48
0.50
2.22
3.23
13.4%
2022Q1
90
111.1
3.60
0.50
0.50
2.60
3.60
16.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Let each resident or the resident's legal representative access or purchase copies of all the resident's records.
D
2026-05-12
2026-02-19
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2026-03-13
2025-10-03
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2025-12-18
2025-10-03
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-12-18
2025-10-03
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-12-18
2025-10-03
Health
F0699
Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent.
D
2025-12-18
2025-10-03
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2025-12-18
2025-10-03
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-12-18
2025-10-03
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
E
2025-12-18
2025-10-03
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-12-18
2024-11-22
Health · complaint
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
J
2024-11-25
2024-11-22
Health · complaint
F0678
Provide basic life support, including CPR, prior to the arrival of emergency medical personnel , subject to physician orders and the resident’s advance directives.
J
2024-11-25
2024-04-12
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
E
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0694
Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed.
E
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
F
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
E
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
D
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0840
Employ or obtain outside professional resources to provide services in the nursing home when the facility does not employ a qualified professional to furnish a required service.
D
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
E
2024-05-12
2024-04-12
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-05-12
2023-07-19
Health · complaint
F0624
Prepare residents for a safe transfer or discharge from the nursing home.
D
2023-08-09
2022-10-13
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2022-11-07
2022-10-13
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2022-11-07
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
19
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
LONGWOOD OPERATIONS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LONGWOOD FL PROPCO II LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
99%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LONGWOOD FL PROPCO LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
50%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BOWDEN, JAMIE
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2020-11-03
current
pecos_ownership
FL OC OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GORELICK, BATYA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
ORCHID COVE SNF HOLDCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PPG GC OPCOS II LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHNZ HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
75%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LONGWOOD FL PROPCO LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
50%
2020-11-03
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LONGWOOD FL PROPCO LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
50%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
HC FAMILY TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
38%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZANZIPER FAMILY TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
38%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT SCHOENFELD
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMIE BOWDEN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2020-11-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALEX TERENTEV
OTHER
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ARGENT PROPERTIES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-11-02
hcris_a_8_1
BATYA GORELICK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ORCHID COVE HEALTH GROUP LLC
OTHER
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$3,752,322
—
$463,652
$639,857
$73,490
15
propco
2023-12-31
$3,842,205
—
$438,301
$634,289
$62,021
14
propco
2022-12-31
$3,409,890
—
$515,833
$653,776
—
13
propco
2021-12-31
$3,498,959
—
$664,161
$778,566
—
13
propco
2020-11-02
$1,923,156
$634,720
—
$695,190
$42,835
24
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12117
acs median gross
0
$1,494
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
0
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
1
$1,617
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
1
$1,731
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
2
$1,764
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
2
$1,972
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
3
$1,991
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
3
$2,476
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
4
$2,284
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
fmr
4
$2,924
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12117
acs median gross
5
$3,252
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
acs median gross
$1,783
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12117
acs recent mover gross
$1,922
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32750
acs median gross
1
$1,653
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32750
acs median gross
2
$1,530
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32750
acs median gross
3
$1,819
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32750
acs median gross
4
$2,642
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32750
acs median gross
$1,734
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 32750
acs recent mover gross
$1,877
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 32750
payment standard 110
0
$1,782
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 90
0
$1,458
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
safmr
0
$1,620
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 110
1
$1,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 90
1
$1,530
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
safmr
1
$1,700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 110
2
$2,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 90
2
$1,746
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
safmr
2
$1,940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 110
3
$2,684
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 90
3
$2,196
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
safmr
3
$2,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 110
4
$3,168
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
payment standard 90
4
$2,592
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 32750
safmr
4
$2,880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.