Reads as: riskier than 55.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
REGIONS BANK
63 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.52
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.50
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.43
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.55
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
129.6
3.52
0.50
0.78
2.23
3.43
0.0%
2025Q3
92
128.4
3.51
0.51
0.76
2.24
3.38
0.0%
2025Q2
91
130.7
3.44
0.40
0.84
2.21
3.40
0.0%
2025Q1
90
133.3
3.40
0.34
0.89
2.17
3.35
0.0%
2024Q4
92
128.6
3.57
0.34
1.00
2.23
3.40
0.1%
2024Q3
92
127.9
3.61
0.34
0.98
2.29
3.51
0.0%
2024Q2
91
133.4
3.58
0.34
0.95
2.30
3.50
15.3%
2024Q1
91
133.4
3.53
0.25
1.04
2.24
3.38
12.6%
2023Q4
92
134.0
3.54
0.29
0.99
2.25
3.40
12.6%
2023Q3
92
131.5
3.51
0.25
1.02
2.24
3.40
15.9%
2023Q2
91
129.5
3.45
0.18
1.02
2.25
3.35
22.2%
2023Q1
90
128.6
3.45
0.21
1.03
2.21
3.31
17.5%
2022Q4
92
124.3
3.46
0.20
1.05
2.21
3.41
19.0%
2022Q3
92
122.8
3.49
0.23
1.03
2.23
3.37
16.3%
2022Q2
91
125.5
3.59
0.26
1.07
2.26
3.45
23.6%
2022Q1
90
123.8
3.79
0.44
0.84
2.52
3.63
26.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2025-07-21
2025-02-10
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2025-03-07
2024-02-29
Health
F0557
Honor the resident's right to be treated with respect and dignity and to retain and use personal possessions.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health · complaint
F0565
Honor the resident's right to organize and participate in resident/family groups in the facility.
E
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
F
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
E
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0791
Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0849
Arrange for the provision of hospice services or assist the resident in transferring to a facility that will arrange for the provision of hospice services.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-03-29
2024-02-29
Health
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
D
2024-03-29
2023-08-15
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2023-09-11
2023-08-15
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-09-11
2021-12-10
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2022-01-10
2021-12-10
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2022-01-10
2021-12-10
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2022-03-07
2021-12-10
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2022-01-10
2021-12-10
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
E
2022-03-07
2020-09-11
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2020-10-11
2020-09-11
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2020-10-11
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
27
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
SPRINGDALE HLTH
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-11-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
SPRINGDALE HLTH
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-11-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
MCCARVER, PATSY
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2013-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
PALM GARDEN HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2013-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
PATSY E. MCCARVER TRUST U/A DATED JUNE 22, 2001 AS AMENDED, PATSY E
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
48%
2013-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
JAMES O. MCCARVER QTIP BUSINESS MARITAL TRUST U/A DATED JUNE 22, 2001,
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
38%
2014-12-23
current
pecos_ownership
JAMES O. MCCARVER RESIDUARY TRUST SHARE U/A DATED 06/22/2001
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2014-12-23
current
pecos_ownership
BOMBERGER, JEFFREY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHALMERS, JAMES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FITTS, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-07
current
pecos_ownership
FITTS, JOHN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-08
current
pecos_ownership
GREENE, ROBERT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JAMES O. MCCARVER QTIP BUSINESS MARITAL TRUST U/A DATED JUNE 22, 2001,
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
KORBAJ, RABEE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-15
current
pecos_ownership
PALM HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-08
current
pecos_ownership
PGLAR RE, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-06-20
current
pecos_ownership
REGIONS BANK
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2013-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
SPRINGDALE HLTH
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2019-11-01
ended 2020-10-31
hcris_a_8_1
SPRINGDALE HLTH
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-11-01
ended 2021-10-31
hcris_a_8_1
SPRINGDALE HLTH
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-11-01
ended 2022-10-31
hcris_a_8_1
PATSY MCCARVER
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2013-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES CHALMERS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY BOMBERGER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN FITTS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN FITTS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RABEE KORBAJ
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT GREENE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-10-31
$3,059,674
—
$710,562
$1,661,333
—
4
propco
2023-10-31
$2,863,534
—
$687,327
$1,582,713
—
4
propco
2022-10-31
$2,600,830
—
$687,812
$1,510,175
—
4
propco
2021-10-31
$2,972,254
—
$697,289
$1,574,977
—
4
propco
2020-10-31
$2,753,120
—
$697,831
$1,583,402
—
4
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12103
acs median gross
0
$1,353
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
0
$1,593
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
1
$1,391
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
1
$1,696
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
2
$1,712
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
2
$1,977
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
3
$2,050
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
3
$2,527
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
4
$2,324
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
fmr
4
$3,077
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12103
acs median gross
5
$2,476
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
acs median gross
$1,642
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12103
acs recent mover gross
$1,906
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33777
acs median gross
1
$620
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33777
acs median gross
2
$1,483
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33777
acs median gross
3
$2,054
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33777
acs median gross
4
$2,380
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33777
acs median gross
$1,729
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 33777
acs recent mover gross
$1,730
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 33777
payment standard 110
0
$2,101
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 90
0
$1,719
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
safmr
0
$1,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 110
1
$2,233
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 90
1
$1,827
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
safmr
1
$2,030
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 110
2
$2,607
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 90
2
$2,133
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
safmr
2
$2,370
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 110
3
$3,333
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 90
3
$2,727
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
safmr
3
$3,030
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 110
4
$4,059
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
payment standard 90
4
$3,321
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 33777
safmr
4
$3,690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.