THE BLOSSOMS AT WHITE RIVER REHAB & NURSING CENTER
snfAR
1311 NORTH PECAN ST, NEWPORT, AR 72112 · CCN 045323 · chain ZCS AR OPCO LLC
Composite
73.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
130
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 73.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+27.0 vs natl
AKS AR OPCO LLC
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.0 vs natl
DIAMOND OPCO HOLDING LLC
5 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.6 vs natl
MH AR OPCO LLC
14 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.4 vs natl
HERZKA MATISYOHU
16 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
40% fined
DIAMOND OPCO HOLDING LLC
5 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
AR median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.04
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.11
0.15
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.75
3.09
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.15
3.46
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
74.7
3.04
0.11
0.66
2.27
2.75
0.0%
2025Q3
92
75.8
3.05
0.13
0.66
2.26
2.76
0.0%
2025Q2
91
73.2
2.85
0.11
0.71
2.02
2.44
0.0%
2025Q1
90
70.5
2.78
0.07
0.71
2.00
2.39
0.0%
2024Q4
92
68.0
2.68
0.13
0.72
1.83
2.25
0.0%
2024Q3
92
63.5
2.82
0.11
0.71
1.99
2.44
0.0%
2024Q2
91
48.9
3.51
0.13
0.70
2.68
3.14
0.0%
2024Q1
91
51.8
3.31
0.13
0.81
2.37
2.87
0.0%
2023Q4
92
53.6
3.38
0.24
0.81
2.33
2.87
0.0%
2023Q3
92
49.8
3.45
0.25
0.91
2.30
3.13
0.0%
2023Q2
91
41.1
3.96
0.26
1.12
2.58
3.72
0.0%
2023Q1
90
41.1
4.04
0.20
1.07
2.77
3.52
0.0%
2022Q4
92
39.7
4.12
0.17
1.04
2.91
3.79
0.0%
2022Q3
92
41.2
3.69
0.05
1.06
2.58
3.47
0.0%
2022Q2
91
45.4
3.21
0.07
1.03
2.12
3.03
0.0%
2022Q1
90
48.2
3.13
0.05
1.02
2.06
2.88
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2025-06-16
2025-05-02
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-05-23
2025-05-02
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-05-23
2025-03-20
Health · complaint
F0678
Provide basic life support, including CPR, prior to the arrival of emergency medical personnel , subject to physician orders and the resident’s advance directives.
D
2025-04-13
2024-03-13
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2024-04-01
2024-03-13
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2024-04-01
2024-03-13
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-04-01
2024-03-13
Health
F0687
Provide appropriate foot care.
E
2024-04-01
2024-03-13
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-04-01
2024-03-13
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2024-04-01
2024-03-13
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-04-01
2023-09-22
Health · complaint
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
E
2023-10-21
2022-12-15
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
E
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
E
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0836
Ensure the facility is licensed under applicable State and local law and operates and provides services in compliance with all applicable Federal, State, and local laws, regulations, and codes, and with accepted professional standards.
E
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0847
Inform resident or representatives choice to enter into binding arbitration agreement and right to refuse.
E
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0848
Provide a neutral and fair arbitration process and agree to arbitrator and venue.
E
2023-01-14
2022-12-15
Health
F0851
Electronically submit to CMS complete and accurate direct care staffing information, based on payroll and other verifiable and auditable data.
E
2023-01-14
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
14
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DIAMOND OPCO HOLDING LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
AKS AR OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
HENDRIX, WANDA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
HERZKA, MATISYOHU
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
KEEL, MITCHELL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MH AR OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHEINBAUM, SHLOMO
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHREIBER, ABRAHAM
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MITCHELL KEEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2023-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHLOMO SCHEINBAUM
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2023-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WANDA HENDRIX
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2023-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ABRAHAM SCHREIBER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATISYOHU HERZKA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZCS AR OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
3
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2023-06-30
$321,456
—
—
$85,156
$48,748
5
—
2022-06-30
$159,720
—
—
—
—
2
—
2021-06-30
$197,290
—
—
—
$7,889
5
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 05067
acs median gross
0
$561
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05067
fmr
0
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05067
acs median gross
1
$520
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05067
fmr
1
$671
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05067
acs median gross
2
$646
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05067
fmr
2
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05067
acs median gross
3
$849
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05067
fmr
3
$1,055
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05067
acs median gross
4
$761
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05067
fmr
4
$1,165
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05067
acs median gross
$668
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05067
acs recent mover gross
$758
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 72112
acs median gross
1
$551
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 72112
acs median gross
2
$659
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 72112
acs median gross
3
$891
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 72112
acs median gross
4
$749
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 72112
acs median gross
$668
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 72112
acs recent mover gross
$529
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 72112
payment standard 110
0
$693
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 90
0
$567
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
safmr
0
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 110
1
$737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 90
1
$603
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
safmr
1
$670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 110
2
$968
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 90
2
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
safmr
2
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 110
3
$1,166
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 90
3
$954
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
safmr
3
$1,060
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 110
4
$1,287
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
payment standard 90
4
$1,053
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 72112
safmr
4
$1,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.