Reads as: riskier than 7.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
LA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.48
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.16
0.10
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.12
3.09
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.63
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
124.7
3.48
0.16
1.13
2.20
3.12
0.7%
2025Q3
92
130.7
3.40
0.15
1.08
2.17
2.93
0.7%
2025Q2
91
129.1
3.31
0.11
1.06
2.15
2.80
0.9%
2025Q1
90
129.4
3.26
0.13
1.07
2.06
2.89
1.3%
2024Q4
92
123.4
3.26
0.17
1.01
2.08
2.82
0.4%
2024Q3
92
120.9
3.27
0.16
1.04
2.06
2.97
1.0%
2024Q2
91
117.3
3.21
0.19
1.05
1.97
2.73
0.7%
2024Q1
91
112.3
3.24
0.15
1.13
1.96
2.98
1.7%
2023Q4
92
118.6
3.19
0.14
1.00
2.05
2.83
1.9%
2023Q3
92
119.8
3.21
0.13
1.09
1.99
2.96
13.8%
2023Q2
91
124.2
3.02
0.10
1.03
1.89
2.63
29.7%
2023Q1
90
119.2
3.10
0.06
1.01
2.03
2.81
32.1%
2022Q4
92
121.1
2.95
0.09
0.94
1.93
2.65
20.3%
2022Q3
92
115.5
3.05
0.07
1.20
1.78
2.89
19.2%
2022Q2
91
112.8
3.13
0.08
1.23
1.83
2.77
20.7%
2022Q1
90
114.9
2.94
0.07
1.21
1.66
2.55
10.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
6
D × 1E × 5
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-03-06
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
E
2025-03-31
2023-01-11
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2023-02-15
2023-01-11
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
E
2023-02-15
2023-01-11
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2023-02-15
2023-01-11
Health
F0729
Verify that a nurse aide has been trained; and if they haven't worked as a nurse aide for 2 years, receive retraining.
E
2023-02-15
2023-01-11
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-02-15
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
49
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
CADDO PROPERTY LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CADDO PROPERTY LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
TRANS MED LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LENA HERITAGE LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
17%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LENA HERITAGE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
17%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BEEBE 2013 CHILDRENS TR NG
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
13%
2023-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
FELICIAS 2016 FAM TR NO 2
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
13%
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALISONS 2016 FAM TR NO 2
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2023-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ADMINISTRATIVE SYSTEMS INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ARIA CARE MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-08-11
current
pecos_ownership
BEEBE, BOBBY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BEEBE, ELTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BEEBE, ELTON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CADDO PROPERTIES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DAY, CATHERINE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2005-10-05
current
pecos_ownership
HERNANDEZ, ROBERT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2006-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
LENA HERITAGE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PARKINSON, TONI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-11-15
current
pecos_ownership
PARKINSON, TONI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PATHWAY MANAGEMENT OF LOUISIANA LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PHARMACEUTICAL CONSULTING SERVICES OF AMERICA LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2009-03-17
current
pecos_ownership
PROVIDENCE CARE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PROVIDER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
QSST TR FOR ALISON BEEBE SADLER DANOS AND HER DESCENDANTS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SADLER, JOSEPH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
STALLARD, DAVID
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TRISTAR REHAB INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
VERDIN ENTERPRISES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHATLEY, FRANSHAYLA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-06-20
current
pecos_ownership
CADDO PROPERTY LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
CADDO PROPERTY LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
CADDO PROPERTY LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
QSST TR FOR ALISON BEEBE SADLER DANOS AND HER DESCENDANTS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
27%
2023-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELTON BEEBE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
21%
2023-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
QSST TR FOR FELICIA BEEBE STALLARD AND HER DESCENDANTS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
21%
2023-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LENA HERITAGE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
17%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LENA HERITAGE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
17%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LENA HERITAGE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
17%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
BOBBY BEEBE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CATHERINE DAY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2005-10-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID STALLARD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2010-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELTON BEEBE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELTON BEEBE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FRANSHAYLA WHATLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-06-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH SADLER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT HERNANDEZ
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2006-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TONI PARKINSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-11-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TONI PARKINSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$771,640
—
—
—
$8,836
11
propco
2023-12-31
$787,036
—
—
—
$9,755
11
propco
2022-12-31
$783,572
—
—
—
$5,480
11
propco
2021-12-31
$470,368
—
—
—
$8,810
11
propco
2020-12-31
$1,005,741
—
—
—
$2,929
11
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 22017
acs median gross
0
$773
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22017
fmr
0
$870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22017
acs median gross
1
$813
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22017
fmr
1
$982
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22017
acs median gross
2
$964
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22017
fmr
2
$1,111
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22017
acs median gross
3
$1,131
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22017
fmr
3
$1,458
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22017
acs median gross
4
$1,282
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22017
fmr
4
$1,552
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22017
acs median gross
$974
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22017
acs recent mover gross
$992
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71115
acs median gross
0
$760
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71115
acs median gross
1
$1,101
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71115
acs median gross
2
$1,006
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71115
acs median gross
3
$1,292
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71115
acs median gross
$1,057
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71115
acs recent mover gross
$908
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 71115
payment standard 110
0
$990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 90
0
$810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
safmr
0
$900
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 110
1
$1,122
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 90
1
$918
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
safmr
1
$1,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 110
2
$1,265
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 90
2
$1,035
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
safmr
2
$1,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 110
3
$1,661
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 90
3
$1,359
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
safmr
3
$1,510
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 110
4
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
payment standard 90
4
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71115
safmr
4
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.