105 15TH ST E, BRADENTON, FL 34208 · CCN 105551 · chain ASP FL LLC
Composite
85.9 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
110
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 85.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
11
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+30.6 vs natl
ASPIRE HEALTHCARE LLC
5 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+30.6 vs natl
ASP FL LLC
5 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
28 chains
FREUND NOCHUM
109 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
28 chains
TRAVITSKY AARON
106 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
27 chains
GOLDBERGER ABRAHAM
100 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
27 chains
DAGAN AMITAI
101 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.2 vs natl
HERSKOWITZ ELIEZER
45 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.2 vs natl
HERSKOWITZ YAAKOV
45 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.5 vs natl
GOLDBERGER FAIGY
111 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
20 chains
GOLDBERGER FAIGY
68 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.0 vs natl
TRAVITSKY AARON
153 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
FL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.11
3.42
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.34
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.09
3.31
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.12
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
97.9
3.11
0.34
0.63
2.14
3.09
0.0%
2025Q3
92
101.3
2.98
0.40
0.59
2.00
3.00
0.0%
2025Q2
91
94.7
3.14
0.40
0.64
2.11
3.07
0.0%
2025Q1
90
96.4
3.06
0.34
0.68
2.04
3.10
0.0%
2024Q4
92
92.7
3.29
0.28
0.76
2.25
3.24
0.0%
2024Q3
92
95.0
3.24
0.29
0.74
2.21
3.20
0.0%
2024Q2
91
97.3
3.56
0.37
0.95
2.23
3.43
0.0%
2024Q1
91
101.1
3.37
0.24
0.91
2.22
3.25
0.0%
2023Q4
92
97.6
2.43
0.10
0.71
1.61
2.52
0.0%
2023Q3
92
99.8
3.68
0.18
0.94
2.56
3.59
0.9%
2023Q2
91
90.7
3.78
0.23
0.95
2.59
3.61
0.0%
2023Q1
90
94.6
3.84
0.23
0.94
2.67
3.57
2.5%
2022Q4
92
99.5
3.54
0.22
0.83
2.49
3.47
0.3%
2022Q3
92
95.0
3.81
0.32
0.81
2.68
3.70
0.0%
2022Q2
91
88.9
3.75
0.38
0.89
2.48
3.58
2.8%
2022Q1
90
87.0
4.16
0.20
1.04
2.92
3.95
7.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
31
D × 23E × 6F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-23
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2026-04-22
2026-01-15
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
E
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-02-14
2026-01-15
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
F
2026-02-14
2025-08-12
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2025-09-12
2025-08-12
Health · complaint
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
E
2025-09-12
2025-08-12
Health · complaint
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
D
2025-09-12
2023-09-19
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2023-10-18
2023-09-19
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-10-18
2023-09-19
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-10-18
2023-06-15
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2023-07-15
2023-06-15
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
E
2023-07-15
2023-06-15
Health
F0694
Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed.
D
2023-07-15
2023-06-15
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2023-07-15
2023-06-15
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2023-07-15
2023-06-15
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-07-15
2021-07-15
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2021-08-14
2021-07-15
Health
F0557
Honor the resident's right to be treated with respect and dignity and to retain and use personal possessions.
E
2021-08-14
2021-07-15
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2021-08-14
2021-07-15
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
D
2021-08-14
2021-07-15
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2021-08-14
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
15
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
15TH STREET EAST SNF PARENT LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
ASP FL LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
ASPIRE HEALTHCARE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
DAGAN, AMITAI
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-21
current
pecos_ownership
FREUND, NOCHUM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
GANEY, JOSEPH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDBERGER, ABRAHAM
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-21
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDBERGER, FAIGY
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-21
current
pecos_ownership
HERSKOWITZ, ELIEZER
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-21
current
pecos_ownership
HERSKOWITZ, YAAKOV
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-21
current
pecos_ownership
MADZVIMBO, NOREST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
TRAVITSKY, AARON
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-21
current
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH GANEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NOCHUM FREUND
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NOREST MADZVIMBO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
4
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$839,921
—
$729,518
—
$110,403
4
—
2022-12-31
$507,589
—
$507,589
—
—
4
—
2021-12-31
$444,905
—
$444,905
—
—
4
—
2020-12-31
$369,216
—
$369,216
—
—
4
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 12081
acs median gross
0
$1,526
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12081
fmr
0
$1,418
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12081
acs median gross
1
$1,380
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12081
fmr
1
$1,686
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12081
acs median gross
2
$1,639
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12081
fmr
2
$1,958
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12081
acs median gross
3
$1,845
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12081
fmr
3
$2,537
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12081
acs median gross
4
$2,578
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12081
fmr
4
$3,027
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 12081
acs median gross
5
$1,939
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12081
acs median gross
$1,671
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 12081
acs recent mover gross
$2,078
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 34208
acs median gross
0
$1,738
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 34208
acs median gross
1
$1,277
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 34208
acs median gross
2
$1,425
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 34208
acs median gross
3
$1,703
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 34208
acs median gross
4
$1,714
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 34208
acs median gross
$1,456
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 34208
acs recent mover gross
$1,877
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 34208
payment standard 110
0
$1,397
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 90
0
$1,143
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
safmr
0
$1,270
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 110
1
$1,661
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 90
1
$1,359
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
safmr
1
$1,510
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 110
2
$1,925
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 90
2
$1,575
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
safmr
2
$1,750
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 110
3
$2,497
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 90
3
$2,043
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
safmr
3
$2,270
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 110
4
$2,981
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
payment standard 90
4
$2,439
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 34208
safmr
4
$2,710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.