Composite
94.8 / 100 percentile
Screener / 067534
D
ALEXANDER HOME HEALTHCARE LLC
home healthCO
3030 S COLLEGE AVENUE UNIT 102, FORT COLLINS, CO 80525 · CCN 067534 · chain AOC OPCO LLC
Peer group
home health n = 24,351
Evidence depth
moderate
Certified beds
—
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 94.8% of the 24,351 facilities in the home health peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
Score model2ML signals13Components5Quality measures21Penalties0Deficiencies0Licensure0Ownership16Related party0Transactions0Market rent36
Composite explanation
2| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 64.2 | 75.0 | 0.30 | 0.6667 | 42.80 | in index |
| chow risk | 87.8 | 33.8 | 0.15 | 0.3333 | 29.27 | in index |
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
13| Kind | Finding | Signal | Subject | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +26.3 vs natl | RANDALL EDMUNDSON | 9 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | AOC OPCO LLC | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | JESSICA RIGGS | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC ANGELS ACQUISITION LLC | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC ANGELS HOLDCO LLC | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC ANGELS HOLDINGS LLC | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC CAPITAL X L P | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC PARTNERS X A L P | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC ANGELS INTERMEDIATE HOLDINGS LLC | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC ANGELS PARENT LLC | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +25.1 vs natl | NAUTIC ANGELS PARENT HOLDINGS LLC | 10 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +23.1 vs natl | AOC BLOCKER CORP | 8 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +22.8 vs natl | MARK FRATES | 9 facilities |
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Component scores and registry models
5| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chow risk | 51.0 | C | v0.1-pecoshha | default · in composite | Home health change of ownership from PECOS owner association dates, the created-for-acquisition flag, owner cohort churn and investment or holding company layering. |
| chow risk | 16.5 | A | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| regulatory risk | 75.0 | D | v0.6-pos | default · in composite | R31. Extends v0.5-pos to hospices (provider type 12): same fields, same weights, no expression change. Hospice regulatory coverage before this was 148 of 6,535 scored hospices, all from the TX HCSSA state model. SNF/NF (type 20) deliberately excluded: the deficiency-based v0.3 already covers 14,315 of 14,720 and is richer evidence than a POS compliance flag. |
| ownership opacity | 20.0 | A | v0.1-pecos | addressable | R21. Retained as a description of ownership structure. Deliberately NOT in any composite: inversely related to billing conduct. |
| regulatory risk | 75.0 | D | v0.5-pos | superseded | R20. Corrects the acptbl_poc_sw error in v0.4-pos; covers provider types 3 and 8. Superseded by v0.6-pos, which extends the population to hospices with no expression change. |
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
Quality measures
21| Measure | Value | Stars | Period | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| How often patients got better at bathing | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| How often patients got better at getting in and out of bed | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| How often patients got better at walking or moving around | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| How often patients' breathing improved | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Discharge Function Score | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| How often physician-recommended actions to address medication issues were completely timely | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| DTC Risk-Standardized Rate | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Percent of Residents Experiencing One or More Falls with Major Injury | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| PPH Risk-Standardized Rate | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| PPR Risk-Standardized Rate | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Changes in skin integrity post-acute care: pressure ulcer/injury | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| How much Medicare spends on an episode of care at this agency, compared to Medicare spending across all agencies nationally | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Quality of patient care star rating | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| How often the home health team began their patients' care in a timely manner | - | — | hha_quality | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/0260f790d69086d7330c10bcd51b9c3c_1782764087/HH_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Percent of patients who reported that their home health team communicated well with them | Not Available | — | hhcahps | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/706e7ad48548f6f3893109f403dd9fd8_1782764088/HHCAHPS_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Percent of patients who gave their home health agency a rating of 9 or 10 on a scale from 0 (lowest) to 10 (highest) | Not Available | — | hhcahps | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/706e7ad48548f6f3893109f403dd9fd8_1782764088/HHCAHPS_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Percent of patients who reported that their home health team gave care in a professional way | Not Available | — | hhcahps | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/706e7ad48548f6f3893109f403dd9fd8_1782764088/HHCAHPS_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Percent of patients who reported YES, they would definitely recommend the home health agency to friends and family | Not Available | — | hhcahps | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/706e7ad48548f6f3893109f403dd9fd8_1782764088/HHCAHPS_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Survey response rate | Not Available | — | hhcahps | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/706e7ad48548f6f3893109f403dd9fd8_1782764088/HHCAHPS_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| HHCAHPS Survey Summary Star Rating | Not Available | — | hhcahps | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/706e7ad48548f6f3893109f403dd9fd8_1782764088/HHCAHPS_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
| Number of completed Surveys | Not Available | — | hhcahps | https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/sites/default/files/resources/706e7ad48548f6f3893109f403dd9fd8_1782764088/HHCAHPS_Provider_Jul2026.csv |
CMS Care Compare measure values as published; a null value with a footnote means CMS suppressed or could not compute it.
Penalties
0No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
0No deficiencies on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
16| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOC CO LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2021-05-07 | current | pecos_ownership |
| AOC OPCO LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2021-05-07 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC ANGELS ACQUISITION, LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC ANGELS HOLDCO, LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2021-05-07 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC ANGELS HOLDINGS, LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC ANGELS INTERMEDIATE HOLDINGS, LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC ANGELS PARENT HOLDINGS, LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC ANGELS PARENT, LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC CAPITAL X, L.P. | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 56% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NAUTIC PARTNERS X-A, L.P. | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 44% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| AOC BLOCKER CORP | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 15% | 2024-02-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| JESSICA RIGGS | CORPORATE OFFICER | 0% | 2021-05-07 | current | pecos_ownership |
| JUANITA MUNOZ | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | 0% | 2025-06-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MARK FRATES | CORPORATE OFFICER | 0% | 2025-06-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| RANDALL EDMUNDSON | CORPORATE OFFICER | 0% | 2021-05-07 | current | pecos_ownership |
| CASEY MASTRENO | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2025-06-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Transactions
0No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Market rent context
36| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 08069 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,493 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 08069 | fmr | 0 | $1,509 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 08069 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,498 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 08069 | fmr | 1 | $1,537 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 08069 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,656 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 08069 | fmr | 2 | $1,732 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 08069 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,078 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 08069 | fmr | 3 | $2,385 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 08069 | acs median gross | 4 | $2,185 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 08069 | fmr | 4 | $2,540 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 08069 | acs median gross | 5 | $2,524 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 08069 | acs median gross | $1,716 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 08069 | acs recent mover gross | $1,817 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 80525 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,518 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 80525 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,500 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 80525 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,740 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 80525 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,167 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 80525 | acs median gross | 4 | $2,037 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 80525 | acs median gross | 5 | $2,667 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 80525 | acs median gross | $1,753 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 80525 | acs recent mover gross | $1,741 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,826 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,494 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | safmr | 0 | $1,660 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,859 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $1,521 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | safmr | 1 | $1,690 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $2,090 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $1,710 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | safmr | 2 | $1,900 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $2,882 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $2,358 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | safmr | 3 | $2,620 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $3,069 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $2,511 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 80525 | safmr | 4 | $2,790 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.