Reads as: riskier than 97.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
25
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+31.4 vs natl
INNOVATIVE NURSE CONSULTING LLC
19 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+27.5 vs natl
STEVEN BOULWARE FAMILY INVESTMENTS LLC
14 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.4 vs natl
BRIDGEPOINTE FINANICAL SERVICES LLC
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+25.8 vs natl
BAUDER WILLIAM
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.7 vs natl
BAUDER MADISON
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.1 vs natl
BAUDER KELLY
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.1 vs natl
BAUDER PARKER
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.5 vs natl
BOULWARE SANDRA
18 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.2 vs natl
BOULWARE ST JAMES LLC
20 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.0 vs natl
BOULWARE THOMAS
24 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.0 vs natl
WALKER KATIE
24 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.7 vs natl
BAUDER FAMILY INVESTMENTS LLC
20 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
10 chains
BAUDER WILLIAM
35 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
9 chains
BOULWARE STEVEN
40 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
36 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BAUDER KELLY
21 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BAUDER PARKER
21 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BAUDER MADISON
21 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
WALKER KATIE
23 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BOULWARE THOMAS
23 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BOULWARE DOUGLAS
38 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
BRIDGEPOINTE FINANICAL SERVICES LLC
21 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
INNOVATIVE NURSE CONSULTING LLC
18 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
PROGRESSIVE REHAB SOLUTIONS LLC
33 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
STEVEN BOULWARE FAMILY INVESTMENTS LLC
13 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TX median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.58
2.67
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.32
0.24
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.47
2.56
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.63
2.72
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
79.7
2.58
0.32
0.71
1.56
2.47
0.0%
2025Q3
92
77.4
2.61
0.34
0.72
1.55
2.42
0.0%
2025Q2
91
76.1
2.86
0.31
0.79
1.76
2.69
8.0%
2025Q1
90
75.2
2.61
0.28
0.76
1.57
2.44
1.6%
2024Q4
92
75.5
2.61
0.26
0.81
1.54
2.42
0.0%
2024Q3
92
73.5
2.65
0.27
0.71
1.67
2.60
0.1%
2024Q2
91
78.0
2.36
0.30
0.55
1.51
2.31
0.7%
2024Q1
91
73.1
2.50
0.26
0.69
1.55
2.49
3.1%
2023Q4
92
76.7
2.40
0.19
0.71
1.50
2.35
7.1%
2023Q3
92
71.3
2.52
0.21
0.63
1.68
2.26
9.5%
2023Q2
91
67.4
2.78
0.22
0.83
1.72
2.71
0.0%
2023Q1
90
70.6
2.92
0.26
0.85
1.81
2.84
0.0%
2022Q4
92
72.7
2.96
0.21
0.88
1.86
2.76
0.0%
2022Q3
92
83.2
3.08
0.19
1.05
1.84
2.99
0.0%
2022Q2
91
73.0
2.85
0.20
0.92
1.72
2.76
0.0%
2022Q1
90
78.3
3.12
0.12
1.10
1.90
3.12
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2026-02-05
2025-12-08
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-12-10
2025-05-29
Health · complaint
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2025-03-17
2025-05-29
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-06-18
2025-02-25
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2025-02-22
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
J
2024-09-09
2024-06-13
Health · complaint
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2024-07-08
2024-04-18
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2024-05-25
2024-04-18
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-05-25
2024-04-18
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
E
2024-05-25
2024-03-22
Health · complaint
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
E
2024-04-12
2023-12-16
Health · complaint
F0687
Provide appropriate foot care.
D
2023-12-29
2023-12-16
Health · complaint
F0810
Provide special eating equipment and utensils for residents who need them and appropriate assistance.
D
2023-12-29
2023-03-02
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-03-10
2023-03-02
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-03-10
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
38
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
PMG REALCO - FRISCO LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
33%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BAUDER FAMILY INVESTMENTS, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE ST JAMES LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEVEN BOULWARE FAMILY INVESTMENTS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, KELLY
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, MADISON
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, PARKER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE, THOMAS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALKER, KATIE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
AHMED, MD JEWEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, WILLIAM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE, DOUGLAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE, SANDRA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE, STEVEN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRIDGEPOINTE FINANICAL SERVICES, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRIDGEPOINTE FINANICAL SERVICES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-07
current
pecos_ownership
INNOVATIVE NURSE CONSULTING, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
INNOVATIVE NURSE CONSULTING, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-07
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, BOBBIE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
PMG OPCO FRISCO LLC
—
—
2025-04-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
PMG REALCO-FRISCO, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-22
current
pecos_ownership
PROGRESSIVE REHAB SOLUTIONS, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
PROGRESSIVE REHAB SOLUTIONS, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-07
current
pecos_ownership
WASHINGTON, MICHAEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEVEN BOULWARE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
42%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATIE WALKER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MADISON BAUDER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PARKER BAUDER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS BOULWARE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KELLY BAUDER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM BAUDER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOUGLAS BOULWARE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
4%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SANDRA BOULWARE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
4%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BOBBIE MILLER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MD JEWEL AHMED
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL WASHINGTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
4
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,994,806
$855,000
$4,325
$879,849
$74,550
16
propco
2022-12-31
$1,092,062
—
—
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$592,741
—
—
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$629,402
—
—
$119,000
$32,563
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 48085
acs median gross
0
$1,594
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48085
fmr
0
$1,582
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48085
acs median gross
1
$1,544
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48085
fmr
1
$1,648
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48085
acs median gross
2
$1,963
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48085
fmr
2
$1,931
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48085
acs median gross
3
$2,337
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48085
fmr
3
$2,431
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48085
acs median gross
4
$2,829
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48085
fmr
4
$3,091
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48085
acs median gross
5
$2,810
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48085
acs median gross
$1,859
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48085
acs recent mover gross
$1,937
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs median gross
0
$1,699
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs median gross
1
$1,679
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs median gross
2
$2,239
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs median gross
3
$2,603
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs median gross
4
$2,972
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs median gross
5
$3,099
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs median gross
$2,290
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75035
acs recent mover gross
$2,244
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 75035
payment standard 110
0
$2,508
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 90
0
$2,052
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
safmr
0
$2,280
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 110
1
$2,607
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 90
1
$2,133
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
safmr
1
$2,370
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 110
2
$3,058
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 90
2
$2,502
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
safmr
2
$2,780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 110
3
$3,850
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 90
3
$3,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
safmr
3
$3,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 110
4
$4,895
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
payment standard 90
4
$4,005
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75035
safmr
4
$4,450
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.