Reads as: riskier than 46.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
10
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.1 vs natl
BANGERTER EDWARD
14 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
BEEMAN RAYMOND
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
BOARDMAN LAURA
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
WIDDISON ALAN
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
SAMUELSON LANCE
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
SMITH VAL
14 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
HALE FREDRICK
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
MIKESELL BRADLEY
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.5 vs natl
GATHERUM JASON
14 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
SMITH DAVID
7 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
UT median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.42
3.19
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.38
0.78
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.34
3.04
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.45
3.25
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
35.3
3.42
1.38
0.25
1.79
3.34
14.8%
2025Q3
92
31.9
3.34
1.36
0.31
1.67
3.34
32.0%
2025Q2
91
33.7
3.39
1.42
0.29
1.69
3.48
40.4%
2025Q1
90
35.8
3.40
1.36
0.38
1.66
3.27
29.0%
2024Q4
92
30.9
3.53
1.45
0.32
1.76
3.37
29.7%
2024Q3
92
36.0
3.60
1.42
0.28
1.91
3.42
27.8%
2024Q2
91
35.9
3.45
1.41
0.30
1.75
3.22
40.6%
2024Q1
91
35.4
3.52
1.60
0.19
1.74
3.26
52.9%
2023Q4
92
35.9
4.01
1.21
0.55
2.25
3.73
34.4%
2023Q3
92
38.2
3.53
0.90
0.63
2.00
3.20
34.4%
2023Q2
91
32.2
3.95
0.96
0.72
2.26
3.76
49.6%
2023Q1
90
39.8
2.81
0.65
0.60
1.57
2.74
59.4%
2022Q4
92
39.4
2.97
0.78
0.41
1.78
2.86
63.9%
2022Q3
92
44.4
3.00
0.84
0.38
1.78
2.94
36.3%
2022Q2
91
37.6
3.46
1.20
0.33
1.93
2.91
22.8%
2022Q1
90
38.2
3.43
1.11
0.31
2.01
3.13
35.6%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-10-26
2024-09-26
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2024-10-26
2024-09-26
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
F
2024-10-26
2024-09-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-10-26
2024-09-26
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-10-26
2023-03-01
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2023-03-24
2023-03-01
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-03-24
2023-03-01
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-03-20
2023-03-01
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-03-24
2021-08-19
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2021-10-08
2021-08-19
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2021-10-08
2021-08-19
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2021-10-08
2021-08-19
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
G
2021-10-08
2021-08-19
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2021-10-08
2021-08-19
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2021-10-08
2021-08-19
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2021-10-08
2021-08-19
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2021-10-08
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
56
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BEAVER CITY CORPORATION
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2017-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
BANGERTE, NATHAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
BANGERTER, EDWARD
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
BANGERTER, JOHNATHAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
BARNEY, JANETT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2012-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BEEMAN, RAYMOND
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
BOARDMAN, LAURA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, GARY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2011-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CORRENTI, KASEY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-06
current
pecos_ownership
DARBY, MEGAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
GATHERUM, JASON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
HALE, FREDRICK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
HANSEN, KENT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
LANGFORD, SCOTT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
MIKESELL, BRADLEY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
MOSS, TYLER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
NEVES, COURTNEY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
OAKDEN, RICHARD
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
OWENS, JON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROBINSON, MATT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROCKY MOUNTAIN CARE - RIVERTON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROCKY MOUNTAIN CARE - RIVERTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-25
current
pecos_ownership
ROCKY MOUNTAIN CARE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-25
current
pecos_ownership
SAMUELSON, LANCE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
SCHENA, TYLER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, DAVID
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, VAL
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNOWBALL, KELLY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
WIDDISON, ALAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
WRIGHT, CRAIG
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCOTT LANGFORD
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2018-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TYLER MOSS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2018-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALAN WIDDISON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRADLEY MIKESELL
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
COURTNEY NEVES
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CRAIG WRIGHT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID SMITH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EDWARD BANGERTER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FREDRICK HALE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY BROWN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2011-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANETT BARNEY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2012-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JASON GATHERUM
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHNATHAN BANGERTER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JON OWENS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KASEY CORRENTI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KELLY SNOWBALL
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KENT HANSEN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LANCE SAMUELSON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA BOARDMAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATT ROBINSON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MEGAN DARBY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NATHAN BANGERTE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RAYMOND BEEMAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD OAKDEN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2010-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TYLER SCHENA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VAL SMITH
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$1,640,075
—
—
$780,532
$389,898
7
—
2024-06-30
$1,297,692
—
—
$663,641
$147,726
4
—
2023-06-30
$1,365,229
—
—
$674,062
$210,393
4
—
2022-06-30
$1,190,010
—
—
$490,307
$275,606
4
—
2021-06-30
$1,052,424
—
—
$717,743
$113,010
4
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 49035
acs median gross
0
$1,256
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 49035
fmr
0
$1,259
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 49035
acs median gross
1
$1,328
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 49035
fmr
1
$1,456
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 49035
acs median gross
2
$1,605
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 49035
fmr
2
$1,747
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 49035
acs median gross
3
$1,930
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 49035
fmr
3
$2,333
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 49035
acs median gross
4
$2,187
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 49035
fmr
4
$2,666
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 49035
acs median gross
5
$2,322
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 49035
acs median gross
$1,592
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 49035
acs recent mover gross
$1,743
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 84065
acs median gross
1
$1,654
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 84065
acs median gross
2
$1,806
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 84065
acs median gross
3
$2,097
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 84065
acs median gross
4
$2,177
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 84065
acs median gross
$1,908
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 84065
acs recent mover gross
$2,213
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 84065
payment standard 110
0
$1,573
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 90
0
$1,287
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
safmr
0
$1,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 110
1
$1,826
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 90
1
$1,494
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
safmr
1
$1,660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 110
2
$2,189
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 90
2
$1,791
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
safmr
2
$1,990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 110
3
$2,926
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 90
3
$2,394
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
safmr
3
$2,660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 110
4
$3,344
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
payment standard 90
4
$2,736
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 84065
safmr
4
$3,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.