Reads as: riskier than 16.3% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
WIPFLI LLP
67 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
WI median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.99
3.60
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.82
0.64
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.91
3.49
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.03
3.65
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
51.6
3.99
0.82
0.63
2.55
3.91
4.4%
2025Q3
92
53.9
3.71
0.74
0.67
2.31
3.49
3.7%
2025Q2
91
55.7
3.64
0.63
0.69
2.32
3.37
4.7%
2025Q1
90
55.0
3.60
0.63
0.69
2.27
3.50
4.0%
2024Q4
92
56.5
3.49
0.61
0.65
2.24
3.42
4.3%
2024Q3
92
59.2
3.38
0.59
0.57
2.22
3.28
2.6%
2024Q2
91
57.6
3.52
0.64
0.65
2.23
3.39
3.0%
2024Q1
91
50.5
3.82
1.01
0.59
2.22
3.42
6.2%
2023Q4
92
47.8
3.90
0.80
0.55
2.54
3.76
10.4%
2023Q3
92
52.0
3.60
0.91
0.45
2.24
3.28
3.5%
2023Q2
91
48.5
3.61
0.82
0.41
2.38
3.53
0.0%
2023Q1
90
46.2
3.80
0.83
0.49
2.47
3.77
0.0%
2022Q4
92
48.4
3.55
0.77
0.43
2.34
3.36
0.0%
2022Q3
92
47.2
3.68
0.77
0.42
2.49
3.57
0.0%
2022Q2
91
49.3
3.50
0.66
0.42
2.42
3.23
0.0%
2022Q1
90
48.6
3.58
0.86
0.45
2.27
3.31
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
8
C × 1D × 4F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-05-12
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2025-06-12
2025-05-12
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-06-12
2025-01-29
Health
F0620
Not require residents to give up Medicare or Medicaid benefits, or pay privately as a condition of admission; and must tell residents what care they do not provide.
C
2025-03-01
2025-01-29
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-03-01
2025-01-29
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-03-01
2023-12-06
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-01-05
2023-12-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-01-05
2023-12-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-01-05
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
40
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BARTON, SCOTT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
1999-08-09
current
pecos_ownership
BERRA, KAY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-03-28
current
pecos_ownership
BRALEY, MATTHEW
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
FALLER, ANNETTE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
FEIRTAG, MEGAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-31
current
pecos_ownership
GOCHANOUR, KIMBERLY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-03-25
current
pecos_ownership
HALL, HALEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANSON, CHARLES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
HUIRAS, ASHLEY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-12-26
current
pecos_ownership
KITE, CINDI
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2018-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
KUTT, DAWN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-03-26
current
pecos_ownership
MAKI, ERICK
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2024-03-26
current
pecos_ownership
MARTIN, SEAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-28
current
pecos_ownership
PASSE, NICHOLAS
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
PEDACE, TERRI
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2021-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SACIE, BONITA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SPILDE, STEVE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHITE, KARLIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHITE, MICHELLE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-02
current
pecos_ownership
WIPFLI LLP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-14
current
pecos_ownership
WIPFLI LLP
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
KIMBERLY GOCHANOUR
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2024-03-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MEGAN FEIRTAG
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
100%
2017-01-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNETTE FALLER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ASHLEY HUIRAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-12-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BONITA SACIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES HANSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDI KITE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAWN KUTT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-03-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERICK MAKI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-03-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HALEY HALL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KARLIE WHITE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAY BERRA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-03-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATTHEW BRALEY
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHELLE WHITE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NICHOLAS PASSE
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SCOTT BARTON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1999-08-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SEAN MARTIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-03-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVE SPILDE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRI PEDACE
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2021-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 55063
acs median gross
0
$716
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55063
fmr
0
$804
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55063
acs median gross
1
$856
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55063
fmr
1
$889
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55063
acs median gross
2
$1,119
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55063
fmr
2
$1,166
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55063
acs median gross
3
$1,338
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55063
fmr
3
$1,515
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55063
acs median gross
4
$1,633
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55063
fmr
4
$1,903
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55063
acs median gross
5
$2,246
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55063
acs median gross
$1,059
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55063
acs recent mover gross
$1,148
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54650
acs median gross
1
$825
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54650
acs median gross
2
$1,111
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54650
acs median gross
3
$1,652
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54650
acs median gross
4
$1,393
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54650
acs median gross
$1,147
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54650
acs recent mover gross
$1,242
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 54650
payment standard 110
0
$979
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 90
0
$801
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
safmr
0
$890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 110
1
$1,078
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 90
1
$882
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
safmr
1
$980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 110
2
$1,419
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 90
2
$1,161
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
safmr
2
$1,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 110
3
$1,848
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 90
3
$1,512
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
safmr
3
$1,680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 110
4
$2,321
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
payment standard 90
4
$1,899
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54650
safmr
4
$2,110
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.